PGA DFS Picks: Top Values for the Valero Texas Open (2024)

The anticipation for Augusta is building with the Masters just a week away. But before we immerse ourselves in all things Green Jacket, let’s pause for a moment as there’s still more golf to be played. The Valero Texas Open is on tap, and despite its place on the schedule, it boasts a competitive field and is a legitimate event. Players are aiming to fine-tune their game at this time, and a win could have a major impact heading to Augusta. For PGA DFS picks, there’s a diverse array of names on the roster, and we know the exact profile of golfer to target.

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PGA DFS Picks: Top Values for the Valero Texas Open 2024

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PGA DFS: Valero Texas Open Tournament Preview

The Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio has been the proud host of this tournament for over a decade, offering a challenging par-72 layout spanning just under 7,500 yards. Despite its length, power isn’t the sole requirement for success here; the leaderboard has often showcased skilled iron players. Precision from tee to green is of utmost importance at this venue.

Leading the pack on the betting boards are Rory McIlroy, Ludvig Aberg and Hideki Matsuyama. Following them, a plethora of PGA Tour victors and seasoned names pose a threat not only this week but also in the upcoming Augusta event. The strategic placement of this tournament in the schedule has bolstered the field, with many players seeking a tune-up before the major next week. This abundance of talent provides ample opportunities for betting, with a wide array of options available. Let’s dive into a few contenders to consider as you construct your Valero Texas Open DFS lineups.

PGA DFS Picks: Top Values

K.H. Lee

DFS Salary
DraftKings: $6,800

You don’t get the nickname TPC Lee by not being able to handle Pete Dye layouts. More importantly, Lee comes in playing quality golf, with a ninth and 31st in his last two starts. Both were aided by rock solid off-tee play, which will serve him well at this course. It also doesn’t hurt that he has a pair of victories at a similar layout in Texas at the Byron Nelson, which is another positive sign for his outlook.

When it gets down to it, this is a sub-$7,000 golfer who is in form and has the right game to tackle this layout. Lee is streaky at times, but that can be said of most of the players in this salary range. His putter is usually reliable, as he has gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven events, and that plus his tee-to-green game put him firmly in play. Lee could be your last man in or just one of a few paydown options on lineups this week.

Adam Svensson

DFS Salary
DraftKings: $6,300

The Svensson adventures continue in 2024. It has been an up-and-down 2024 for him, with some quality play early in the year followed by some poor recent form. He has made his last two cuts, but he will need to do better than the 49th and 57th finishing positions to really pay off value. Fortunately, the signs are trending upward, and Svensson’s price is providing a ton of room for upside.

It’s clear from the numbers that the first issue that he needs to improve is putting. Svensson has lost four, six and two strokes putting in his last three events, which is going to severely cap any upside. After a rocky stretch in Florida with a lot of penalties, his irons returned, which is really the biggest plus sign he has. Svensson was fantastic on the approach in Houston, gaining over four strokes with his irons. He currently has one of the best leverage scores in Stokastic’s PGA DFS projections, and it’s an easy case to include him in the pool this week. With a little uptick in putting, Svensson could open up the rest of your lineups thanks to his basement price tag.

Nate Lashley

DFS Salary
DraftKings: $6,200

After running a few PGA DFS Sims on Stokastic, Lashley was popping up as a potential target. The more I dug in, the more it became clear he is another paydown option for this week’s tournament. Lashley is a huge boom/bust play with seemingly winning upside and missed cut downside each and every week.

Let’s just take his 2024 as an example: A handful of missed cuts to start the year, then out of nowhere a third-place finish at the Farmers. He followed it up with four straight missed cuts until he popped up 13th at THE PLAYERS. Finishing 21st last time out at Houston was impressive considering he gained strokes in all four categories, which is a sign of his game clicking.

Lashley has some experience around this layout, and although the course history isn’t stellar (three missed cuts and an 18th), his game fits what TPC San Antonio demands. If you are looking to pay up for one or even two top-end players in lineups, then consider Lashley at this price point as a last man in with huge boom/bust potential.

Stokastic’s PGA Tools & Expert Advice

Still need more PGA DFS advice? The rest of our expert articles are loaded with advice here to help, but even our experts need tools, and that’s what a subscription to Stokastic will get you! Use the tools our pros use to win contests, like our PGA DFS projections, lineup generator, contest simulator and weather splits tool.

*Ben Rasa (aka Jazzraz)* has been involved with sports and numbers for quite some time dabbling in the poker world , sports wagering and of course finding a home in the DFS world. While he enjoys playing NFL, NCAAF and NBA he has found his best advantage on the links with PGA and the Euro Tour. Jazzraz focuses on GPPs and uses a analytical approach to try and find pricing inefficiencies as well as trying to go against the grain to find those under owned lesser know players that can make the difference in giant field tournaments. You can contact Ben by emailing [email protected].

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