For the final week of the regular season, the Week 18 slate consists of 13 games. This NFL DFS first look article provides an early look at the DraftKings and FanDuel main slates and evaluates some of the top options at each position and best all-around NFL DFS picks.
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NFL DFS First Look: Week 18 Daily Fantasy Picks
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Jalen Hurts, PHI vs. NYG ($8,200 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel)
Hurts (shoulder) is expected to return this Sunday and the Eagles can clinch the No.1 seed in the NFC if they defeat the Giants, who are locked into the No.6 seed and have nothing to play for. New York’s defense is the third-worst-graded unit on PFF and Philadelphia’s implied team total is the highest on the slate (28.25 points). Hurts has had a magical season, ranking second in yards per pass attempt (8.2), second in carries per game (11.3), first in red zone carries (45) and first in DraftKings points per dropback among quarterbacks (0.78).
Including a 30.38 DraftKings point performance against the Giants, Hurts has topped 30 DraftKings points in three consecutive starts when playing behind an implied team total of at least 25 points.
Brock Purdy, SF vs. ARI ($5,700 DraftKings, $6,900 FanDuel)
Purdy has been very efficient as the 49ers starter the last four weeks. He has averaged 8.8 yards per attempt, thrown eight touchdowns and only two picks. This Sunday, San Francisco can clinch the No.1 seed with a win over the Cardinals combined with an Eagles loss. The 49ers and Eagles play at the same time Sunday, so San Francisco should go all out to win this game against the Cardinals, who are the eighth-worst-graded defense on PFF. The 49ers’ implied team total is the second highest on the slate (27 points), and Purdy is a strong bet for over 20 DraftKings points in this great spot.
Kenneth Walker III, SEA vs. LAR ($6,400 DraftKings, $7,700 FanDuel)
For the Seahawks to clinch a Wild Card berth, they need to beat the Rams and then the Packers need to lose Sunday night. This is an obvious must-win for Seattle, and they should continue to feed Walker a massive workload with their season on the line. After sitting out Week 14, he has handled 20.3 carries per game – including seven red zone attempts – while logging 61% of the snaps over the last three weeks. With nothing at stake, the Rams defense has dwindled as the season comes to a close, allowing the seventh-most yards per rush over the last three weeks (5.0). With the Seahawks as 6.5-point home favorites, Walker should see a minimum of 20 touches and is one of the best values on the slate at these reasonable price tags.
Tyler Allgeier, ATL vs. TB ($5,600 DraftKings, $6,500 FanDuel)
Allgeier has become a workhorse back for the Falcons and the heavy workload should continue this Sunday with the Falcons as three-point home favorites over the Bucs, who are likely to rest some of their key players with them locked into the No.5 seed in the NFC. Over the last three weeks, Allgeier has received 18.3 carries per game – including 13 red zone rushes – while logging 54% of the snaps. Additionally, he has run a route on 55% of his team’s dropbacks and gained a target 17% of those routes. Allgeier has produced 19.3 DraftKings points per game during this run and is way underpriced for his current role as Atlanta’s main rusher.
Alexander Mattison, MIN vs. CHI ($5,100 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel)
The Vikings are a team to monitor, as they really don’t have much to play for this Sunday and resting their key players might be the best choice. If they decide to go that route, Dalvin Cook will likely be one of those players to sit this game out, leaving Mattison as the team’s featured back for this gorgeous matchup against the Bears and making him an elite value play. Chicago has given up the fourth-most yards per rush this season (5.0), and Mattison is averaging 19.4 DraftKings points per game as starter with Cook inactive (six career games).
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A.J. Brown, PHI vs. NYG ($8,000 DraftKings, $8,300 FanDuel)
With the Eagles playing for the top seed in the NFC, stacking Hurts and Brown is a no brainer. In 14 games with Hurts this season, Brown has led Philadelphia with a 29% target share, including 22 targets over 20 yards and 14 red zone targets. As mentioned above, the Eagles boast the highest implied team total on the slate (28.25 points), and Brown is averaging 21 DraftKings points per game when he has a team total of at least 28.
D.J. Moore, CAR vs. NO ($6,100 DraftKings, $7,300 FanDuel)
Moore has returned to fantasy stardom with Sam Darnold under center, leading the Panthers with a 29.6% target since Darnold took over in Week 12. During this time, Moore has seen 11 targets over 20 yards and six red zone targets. Outside of the strange zero catch performance against the Seahawks in Week 14, Moore has scored at least 18 DraftKings points in every game with Darnold as his quarterback this season. The Saints have been a stout defense this season, giving up the fourth-fewest yards per pass this season (6.0), but they have nothing to play for this Sunday and Moore is far too cheap for his elite role.
Rashid Shaheed, NO vs. CAR ($4,200 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel)
Shaheed has seen compelling usage since becoming a starter in Week 13, running a route on 91% of his team’s dropbacks and obtaining a target on 22% of those routes, including a team-high three targets over 20 yards. Shaheed has averaged 13 DraftKings points per game during this four-game run and ranks seventh among receivers in DraftKings points per snap this season (0.36). These price tags simply don’t reflect the immense role Shaheed has been receiving, and he should beat these salaries with ease against this Carolina defense that is the 10th-worst-graded on PFF.
George Kittle, SF vs. ARI ($6,000 DraftKings, $7,600 FanDuel)
Kittle is the best player to pair with Purdy this weekend, as he has seen a 25% target share with Purdy under center over the last four weeks. Furthermore, he has led the 49ers with four red zone targets and four targets greater than 20 yards. Kittle has been a stud during this stretch, generating 23.5 DraftKings points per game, and this is a perfect spot for him to keep flourishing. On top of San Francisco carrying the second-largest implied team total on the board (27 points), the Cardinals defense has surrendered the most catches (97), third-most yards (1,055) and second-most touchdowns to tight ends this season (10).
Tyler Conklin, NYJ vs. MIA ($3,600 DraftKings, $5,100 FanDuel)
Conklin is a terrific, inexpensive option in this beautiful matchup against the Dolphins. This season, Miami has yielded the second-most catches (95) and second-most touchdowns to the tight end position (10). Mike White returned for the Jets last week and with him at quarterback this season, Conklin has garnered a target on 19% of his routes. Conklin should produce double-digit fantasy points this weekend and is never a popular name in GPPs. Conklin hasn’t cracked double-digit ownership once this season in the DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest.
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