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NFL Player Props Tool

Alex Baker



NFL betting player props are perhaps the most beatable odds that sportsbooks offer today.  Most of these sportsbooks outsource their odds and there are so many that they can’t get them all right.  The way that sportsbooks tend to handle these bets is by limiting sharp bettors to small bets only while allowing lesser skilled players to put huge bets down on losing bets.  That means you should take advantage of these bets while you can.

The expected probabilities are based on Stokastic’s projections and simulations.  These are not necessarily designed to optimally calculate the percentages of each bet – but they should give a great baseline for what bets should be profitable and which should be avoided.

NFL Betting Player Props Tool

Last Update: 4 months ago

Passing Yds

Recv Yds


Rush Yds


Passing TDs

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A self-proclaimed U.S. history buff, stats enthusiast, and rabid fan of anything Detroit (yes, even the Lions), Alex started playing daily fantasy sports in 2013 and never looked back. After graduating with a degree in mathematics from Washington University in St. Louis in 2008, he began developing advanced statistical models and applied his unique skill-set first to poker, then as a full-time DFS player. He has since dominated DFS, becoming a fixture on leaderboards and cementing his position as the top-ranked overall player according to RotoGrinders. Competing in most guaranteed prize pool tournaments, he has ranked in the top 3 across major sports, including NBA, NFL, NHL, PGA, and MLB. He enjoys sharing his knowledge of fantasy sports with new and experienced players alike. Career Highlights: No. 1 Overall Ranking; 14x FanDuel $100k winner, 11x DraftKings Hundred-Thousandaire; 20x Live Final qualifier. You can contact him on Twitter @awesemodfs or by emailing [email protected].

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