NBA Fantasy: DraftKings + FanDuel Projections & High-Upside Plays 2/16

In NBA DFS and daily fantasy basketball as a whole, it is not as simple as rostering who we think the best play is. We have to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, we have our own odds to help us navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting according to our tool.

*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.

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DraftKings + FanDuel Boom/Bust Projections | Feb. 16

NBA Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom Candidates

LeBron James vs. Timberwolves: $10,500/$10,100

52.4% DraftKings Boom/48.7% FanDuel Boom

With Anthony Davis out for an extended period of time because of an Achilles injury, the Lakers will have to lean on LeBron. His MVP odds are skyrocketing at sportsbooks, and I think this partly because of an expectation of an expanding role that is impending. Without Davis healthy, James sees a bump in multiple ways. Not only does he see a 1.6% usage increase when Davis is off the court, the Lakers also rely on James to play increased minutes in games that Davis misses. He also looks like he will go under-owned since he is projected for around 30% ownership with odds of over 40% to end up in the optimal lineup.

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Michael Porter Jr. vs. Celtics: $5,800/$5,500

34% DraftKings Boom/51% FanDuel Boom

Porter is a tough player to nail down. He’s struggled since coming back from COVID, but he’s still generally a player I think of as a good fantasy producer. For the season, Porter scores over a fantasy point per minute, and he reclaimed his starting job last week. Porter was playing limited minutes when he first returned to the Nuggets following a three-week COVID absence. I expect him to get back on track sooner rather than later, and his salary is certainly appealing.

Anfernee Simons vs. Thunder: $4,100/$4,000

23.9% DraftKings Boom/21% FanDuel Boom

Injuries continue to hit the Trail Blazers. As if the injuries to C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic were not enough, Rodney Hood and Harry Giles are now also out. This could potentially mean that Portland will only run a rotation with eight players tonight. This puts all of the Blazers’ active players in line for a bigger role. I expect more small ball lineups and Simons could approach 30 minutes off the bench. He played 24 minutes last game and that was with Giles active. This slate doesn’t have a ton of value at the moment and Simons isn’t picking up much ownership.

NBA Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates

Chris Boucher vs. Bucks: $7,200/$6,600

60.6% DraftKings Bust/54.3% FanDuel Bust

The playing time for Boucher is continually a nightmare to predict. To make matters trickier, the Raptors are apparently looking to trade for Andre Drummond, which would reduce Boucher’s already inconsistent role in the rotation. Considering the trade rumors and the fact that Boucher only played 18 minutes last game, it looks like he is starting to fall out of favor in Toronto.

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Author

Greg Ehrenberg

Greg is a former stand up comedian who quit telling jokes to pursue a career in the world of DFS. He started playing fantasy sports in 6th grade when Greg and his friends would skip classes to meet in the bathroom for 20 team fantasy basketball drafts. Considering his current career path, it was the best education he could have asked for.