To begin the last week of April, Major League Baseball has a seven-game schedule that does not start until 6:10 p.m. ET, where expert MLB picks and predictions will be selected. Thankfully on a slimmer day of MLB betting options, fans are treated to no evident threats to the weather anywhere, putting postponements out of mind. Equipped with our Awesemo tools and data with the functionality to rapidly filter and sort the updated betting lines at OddsShopper, this article will dive into the potential positive rewards available to solidify the best MLB bets today.
This article will seek out the best expert MLB bets today based on the potentially most profitable, according to xROI%. Utilizing the groundbreaking tools at OddsShopper to identify outstanding value with optimal returns on investment, parsing and prioritizing daily wagers is easy to filter, sort and bet. OddsShopper not only provides up-to-date odds featured across all major stateside sportsbooks but also the creation of a Prop Party Parlay, combining your choice of top picks to maximize returns.
Best MLB Bets Today: Free MLB Picks & Predictions
Boston Red Sox Moneyline vs. Toronto Blue Jays (+110)
The Boston Red Sox (7-9) look to bounce with a four-game road series against the Toronto Blue Jays (10-6). For Game 1, Boston will have Nathan Eovaldi on the mound against Jose Berrios. With a scheduled 7:07 p.m. ET first pitch, the series being played in the dome of Toronto’s Rogers Centre means there is no pending impact from the elements. Looking to OddsShopper the Blue Jays are -128 moneyline favorites although Awesemo data projects a 51% expected win rate for Boston on a +110 moneyline and a 4.1% return on investment. Eovaldi (11-9, 2021) has treaded a decent first three starts to the season with a win and two no decisions that most recently includes Toronto, whom he earned seven hits against, six strikeouts, one walked batter and one run earned against in 4 2/3 innings pitched. Last season, Eovaldi delivered a 25.5% strikeout rate, .252 average against, 4.6% walk rate, 1.19 WHIP, 0.74 home runs per nine innings, 3.75 earned run average, stranded 70.4% of batters reaching bases and a career-best 2.79 FIP. Tonight Eovaldi will face seven righties and two left-handed hitters. Facing right-handed opposition in 2021, Eovaldi achieved a 24.9% strikeout rate, .263 average against, 1.25 WHIP, 4.8% walk rate, 1 HR/9, 3.36 xFIP and 12.4% home run to fly ball rate. The Blue Jays had a .264 batting average and 111 wRC+ against righties last year. The Boston bullpen of 2021 managed a 25.6% strikeout rate, .241 average against, 1.39 WHIP, 1.04 HR/9, 10.8% walk rate, 3.99 ERA and 12.2% HR/FB rate.
Berrios (12-9, 2021) has embodied a similar start to the season of his Monday counterpart on the mound with two no decisions and a win in three starts, including his latest six strikeouts, eight hits earned against, one run earned against and one walked batter in six innings pitched against the Red Sox. In 2021, Berrios strung together arguably his best season to date with a 26.1% strikeout rate, .221 average against, 1.06 WHIP, 1.03 HR/9, 3.7 FIP, 5.8% walk rate, stranded 72.3% of batters reaching bases and 3.52 ERA. Berrios will face six righties and three left-handed hitters. Facing fellow righties in 2021, Berrios demonstrated a 24.4% strikeout rate, .193 average against, 0.86 WHIP, 0.61 HR/9, 4.2% walk rate, 2.99 FIP and 8.2% HR/FB rate. The Red Sox hitting when facing right-handed pitching last year solidified a .260 batting average, 23.7% strikeout rate, .788 OPS, .200 ISO, 14.5% HR/FB rate and 109 wRC+. Toronto’s bullpen relief in 2021 engineered a 24.6% strikeout rate, .228 average against, 1.28 WHIP, 1.3 HR/9, 4.08 ERA and 14.8% HR/FB rate. Awesemo projects a high return on the Boston moneyline, and as a result this is one of the best MLB bets today.
Use OddsShopper to find the best betting odds and check out the MLB betting page for the rest of our free MLB betting picks today.
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Astros vs. Rangers Over 8 Total Runs (-110)
The Houston Astros (7-8) hit the road for a four-game American League West divisional series with rival Texas Rangers (5-10), sending southpaw Framber Valdez to the mound against righty Dane Dunning. Given an 8:05 p.m. ET first pitch, the weather at Globe Life Field forecasts a cool 65 degrees. Shifting back to OddsShopper the Astros are -133 moneyline favorites with an eight Vegas run total while Awesemo data projects an 8.2 expected run total including a 1% return on investment for the over. Valdez (11-6, 2021) has achieved the full range of outcomes in three starts with a win, loss and no decision featuring a combined 12 hits earned against, 12 strikeouts, seven runs earned against and 10 walked batters in 14 innings pitched against the Diamondbacks and twice facing the Angels. Last season Valdez managed a decent 21.9% strikeout rate and 1.25 WHIP, though his 21.4% HR/FB rate could be better. Tonight Valdez will face seven righties and two left-handed hitters. Facing opposite-handed hitting last season Valdez manufactured a 20.8% strikeout rate, .219 average against, 1.22 WHIP, 0.71 HR/9, 9.7% walk rate, 3.89 FIP, and 18.8% HR/FB rate. The Rangers’ offensive efforts of 2021 against southpaw pitching delivered a dismal .233 batting average, 22.7% strikeout rate, .652 OPS, .130 ISO, 10.2% HR/FB rate and 79 wRC+ since massively improved upon thus far in 2022.
Dunning (5-10, 2021) has yet to find his footing this season with two no decisions and a loss in three starts including a combined 17 hits earned against, 14 strikeouts, eight earned runs against and seven walked batters in 12 2/3 innings pitched against the Mariners, Angels and Blue Jays. Dunning came to the Rangers last season following a short stint with the White Sox, turning in a 22.3% strikeout rate, .273 average against, 1.44 WHIP, 0.99 HR/9, 11.5% walk rate, 4.51 ERA, 14.3% HR/FB rate and 3.94 FIP. Dunning will face five righties, three lefties and one switch-hitter. Facing fellow righties in 2021, Dunning achieved a 22.8% strikeout rate, .271 average against, 1.25 HR/9, 1.46 WHIP, 9.1% walk rate, 4.31 FIP and 23.7% HR/FB rate that remains a concern. The Astros’ hitting against all pitching was exemplary in 2021 while facing righty opposition delivered a .266 batting average, 20% strikeout rate, .781 OPS, .176 ISO, 116 wRC+ and 13.5% HR/FB rate. Texas’ bullpen relief last season engineered a 22% strikeout rate, .240 average against, 9.3% walk rate, 1.32 WHIP, 1.12 HR/9, 4.13 ERA and 11.9% HR/FB rate. Awesemo data projects a high-scoring affair and a high ROI, making this one of the best MLB bets today.
Use OddsShopper to find the best betting odds and check out the MLB betting page for the rest of our free MLB betting picks today.
More Quick MLB Picks & Predictions Today
- Giants vs. Brewers Under (-105), 5.4% xROI
- Mets vs. Cardinals Over (+115), 12.2% xROI
- Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Over (+105), 21.2% xROI
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