The Prop Report is back in action for the duration of the NBA Playoffs! Identifying edges in the NBA betting market can be tough, which is why OddsShopper and the NBA Player Props Tool at Awesemo.com are here to help. This article focuses on my favorite NBA prop bets and NBA betting picks for tonight’s three Game 2’s, and which sportsbook offers the best odds for them.
The Prop Report: Top NBA Prop Bets | May 25
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NBA Prop Bet No. 1: Jabari Parker UNDER 6.5 Points (+100)
After playing precisely zero minutes in the Celtics’ play-in tournament win versus the Wizards, Parker was a surprise addition to the rotation in Game 1 against the Nets. Of course, Boston is completely overmatched in this series, so one can’t blame Brad Stevens to try some lunacy in order to stay competitive against the title favorites. And it is not like Parker played terribly, as he put up 9 points in 22 minutes of work and had a plus/minus of +7 in the process.
But there is a very legitimate shot that Parker will not even touch the floor tonight. In fact, it’s so legitimate that it’s shocking to see a number even posted for tonight. And even if he does get in the game, there’s no guarantee that he will find his way to three buckets in such limited run. Plus, the Awesemo NBA Props tool pegs this prop as the best on the board tonight with a 65% expected ROI. So if any sportsbook has this 6.5 points number posted, run to the virtual window to invest on the under.
NBA Prop Bet No. 2: Kyle Kuzma OVER 6.5 Points (-112)
Kuzma was an absolute no-show on Sunday, going 0-for-2 from the field in his 19 minutes of run. But as bad as that Game 1 performance was, he most likely missed out on a rotation as the Lakers re-inserted LeBron James early in the fourth to trim their massive deficit. That means Kuzma should be looking more at 22 to 24 minutes should this game stay competitive today, which is more than enough to justify on a better scoring output from him in Game 2. And considering his 12.6 points per game for the regular season, it shouldn’t be asking all that much for this over to come to fruition, making it a no-brainer pick to add to betting cards tonight.
NBA Prop Bet No. 3: Luka Doncic UNDER 9.5 Assists (-113)
Doncic put on a show in Game 1 on Saturday, dismantling the Clippers defense for a 30-point triple-double. But expecting the exact same result on Tuesday would be a mistake, as the Clippers will surely put a game plan in place to disrupt Doncic’s flow in Game 2 and force the ball out of his hands whenever possible. The major fade in this scenario is the increase in Doncic’s minutes, as the spike to 41 in Game 1 makes his 8.6 assists per game project closer to 10 assists in a neutral matchup. But this is no neutral matchup, as the Clippers were top 10 in defensive efficiency during the regular season and bottom three in pace. That should create fewer assist opportunities as this series progresses, making the under on 9.5 assists for Doncic one of the best NBA betting picks on the board this evening.
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