⛳ The Winning Element: WGC Workday PGA DFS Picks, Player Pool & Ownership Percentages

All of my PGA DFS picks and content is geared toward providing information that will help you with all your DraftKings and FanDuel daily fantasy golf and wagering decisions in the best way possible. This is the last of my week-long written material for the WGC Workday, and now it’s FREE!

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I am primarily a GPP PGA DFS player and enjoy making up to 450 lineups, so the allocations I give out are likely not exact, but they are my target for the mass-entry GPPs. And so, if this is your first time reading it, let’s go over what you can find in it.

Weather

Welcome to sunny Florida during the best time of year. It’s mid-7os by the middle of the day and stays that way right through sundown. There is not a lot of wind in the forecast either.

Fantasy Golf Favorites for the WGC Workday

While I believe Jordan Spieth may not be here, I’ll get plenty of my “favorite” fill with Patrick Cantlay and Collin Morikawa. Cantlay is as close to a win as you can get on the PGA Tour, and Morikawa is going way under-owned.

PGA DFS Picks for the WGC Workday

Total Player Pool: 73

Week-Long DFS Contests

DraftKings

• 1 $555 Signature hole
• 2 $200 Driver
• 300+ GPP lineups

FanDuel

• 2 $444
• 100 GPP lineups

Core Golfers (DraftKings Price/FanDuel Price)

Jon Rahm ($11,100/$11,900)

Of all of the top guys, outside of Cantlay, I’m most overweight Rahm. I think he’s trending the best out of all these golfers right now, and he couldn’t make anything the first two days last week, yet he still found his way into the top five. He is back on a Nicklaus course this week — on which he’s won recently — and now the form matches up. I’ll take the price and ownership discount against Dustin Johnson.

Bryson DeChambeau ($9,900/$11,300)

I’ve said it all week, but the last 10 holes from Friday are drawing me back in. Obviously, DeChambeau’s win here in 2015 just means that he’s played the course a few more times than the others in the field, but I’m more so leaning on the middle ownership and high-leverage spot for him.

Viktor Hovland ($9,400/$10,800)

Hovland didn’t let me down last week, and even though he’s more expensive this week, that also comes with lower ownership. My new theme this year is, if you like a guy, don’t worry about his price. Just play him because if you think he’s priced too high, it likely will come with lower ownership. I’ll use Hovland in my main lineup on DraftKings instead of Cantlay, and I will use Cantlay on both my $444 teams on FanDuel for the leverage there.

Sungjae Im ($8,800/$10,200)

Im’s first start back after a couple of weeks off is met with lower ownership. That is likely just a bid that people don’t exactly know where his game is, but he’s been as good off the tee this year. It has been his short game holding him back. A switch to Bermuda surfaces will maybe give him the break he needs, as we know he won on Bermuda last year. At a projection of less than 10% ownership, this is an easy core play for me this week, especially below $9,000.

Scottie Scheffler ($8,300/$10,000)

The variability in Scheffler’s game right now is a bit drastic, with rounds of 4 and 5 under, accompanied by two 3-overs last week. He had something similar at the Farmers Insurance as well, going 7 under and 7 over in his two days in San Diego. That says a couple of things to me: One is that he’s an aggressive player, and that hurts him in bad conditions; two, a hot putter typically means a big-scoring week on DraftKings given how aggressive he plays. I’ll buy into that at around 10% ownership.

Will Zalatoris ($8,000/$8,800)

Speaking of FanDuel, Zalatoris is coming in as one of the best values on the slate, in my opinion. He is priced right about the average on DraftKings yet is $1,300 away from the average on FanDuel. That’s enough for me to jump on board. I’ll load up on FanDuel while trying to pay up for Scheffler on DraftKings.

Matthew Wolff ($7,600/$8,400)

It is better to be early than late in PGA DFS, and I think that Wolff’s and DeChambeau’s games are very similar to each other. So I’ll leverage that and play them in the same lineup quite a bit in an effort to catch the week where Wolff is able to keep the driver somewhere on this planet.

Golfers Under $7,000 in My Big-Dollar Lineups

As you can see, there is quite a gap between more core plays this week, and that’s pretty simple. I’m building aggressively, leading me to stacking two golfers below $7,000 with a mixture of other four, all above $8,000. That obviously leaves a gaping hole, and if the middle section of this field plays well, I could be in a spot of trouble. Here are the golfers under $7,000 that got in my big-dollar lineups and will have the highest allocation to them in my GPP lineups.

• Victor Perez ($6,900/$8,100): Perez is either in contention or missing the cut as of late, as he has a win and a fourth mixed in with two missed cuts in his last four starts. Still, he is the 30th-ranked player in the world and has a recent top-five. That’s enough for me.
• Abraham Ancer ($6,800/$8,200): It’s a pretty obvious play here, as Ancer’s odds to win are priced with that of Wolff and others in the mid-$7,000 range. He will be chalky because of it, though.
• Lanto Griffin ($6,700/$7,700): It has quietly been another big year for Griffin, having made four of five cuts, including a seventh at the Farmers. In those four starts where he’s made the cut, he has averaged over a 10x return and has beaten the average by quite a bit. Below $7,000 in this field, he presents the safest play down here outside of Ancer.
• Rasmus Hojgaard ($6,700/N/A): That’s right, even though I tweeted them on Monday, FanDuel still hasn’t gotten Hojgaard into the player pool. Back-to-back Top-10s are enough for me to get involved.
• Cameron Champ ($6,500/$7,400): Words sung famously by the Jonas Brothers apply here: “I’m a sucker for you.” Under $7,000, Champ has 16 guaranteed par 5’s this week. Sign me up.
• Sebastian Munoz ($6,500/$7,100): Having played with Spieth the first couple of rounds last week, we got to watch Munoz quite a bit. And it looks like he was pretty close. A bad day in the conditions on Saturday pushed him down the board, but he’s priced with some of the Australasian players over on FanDuel, showing good value there.
• David Lipsky ($6,000/$7000): Proximity to the event and decent form is enough for me to gamble a few bucks on Lipsky this week.

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This is how I’m allocating my shares to the expected chalk of the week. For this article, anyone projected over 10% for this week’s WGC Workday will be considered chalk. In order by salary:

O = Overweight
E = Equal Weight
U = Underweight

1. Dustin Johnson (E to U)
2. Xander Schauffele (E)
3. Rory McIlroy (E)
4. Tony Finau (E to U)
5. Tyrell Hatton (E to O)
6. Brooks Koepka (E)
7. Daniel Berger (E)
8. Patrick Reed (E to O)
9. Webb Simpson(U)
10. Harris English (U)
11. Joaquin Niemann (U)
12. Louis Oosthuizen (E to U)
13. Justin Rose (E to U)
14. Jason Day (U)
15. Sergio Garcia (E to U)
16. Ryan Palmer (U)
17. Kevin Kisner (U)
18. Billy Horschel (U)

PGA DFS Fringe Players for DraftKings & FanDuel

* Likely to be in a higher-dollar lineup and 10-20% in GPPs

1. Justin Thomas
2. Tommy Fleetwood
3. Cameron Smith
4. Bobby MacIntyre (FanDuel)
5. Christiaan Bezuidenhout
6. Gary Woodland

PGA DFS Alternates (5-15% GPPs)

1. Max Homa
2. Matthew Fitzpatrick
3. Hideki Matsuyama
4. Adam Scott
5. Carlos Ortiz
6. Bernd Wiesberger

PGA DFS Holes in One (1-5% GPPs)

1. The rest

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