As the NBA trade deadline approaches, news about where players are headed next looms over every card. A few years ago, Harrison Barnes even got dealt to the Sacramento Kings partway through a game. With the Kyrie Irving discourse at the forefront of everyone’s minds, even the best bettors may let the sharpest NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Evan Mobley player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.
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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Monday.
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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Feb. 6
Donte DiVincenzo O/U 3.5 Rebounds
The Golden State Warriors will take on the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight. With Stephen Curry sidelined for the foreseeable future, Donte DiVincenzo will have to slide into a larger role. He is already averaging 4.4 rebounds per game and just racked up four in 26 minutes against the Thunder last week.
Unsurprisingly, NBA Bet Pro expects solid production from DiVincenzo on the glass. The model projects him for 5.7 rebounds, well above his season average and far above this total. This play owns an expected win rate of 69%, far better than the implied odds of 62.3% available at BetMGM. This play is one of four with double-digit EV on the card — just subscribe to NBA Bet Pro to view them!
Best NBA Player Prop: Donte DiVincenzo Over 3.5 Rebounds (-165) at BetMGM
Donovan Mitchell O/U 2.5 3-Pointers
The Cleveland Cavaliers have a date with the Washington Wizards tonight. They’ll play on the wrong end of a back-to-back after beating the Indiana Pacers last night. But with backup guard Ricky Rubio out tonight, Mitchell and Darius Garland may have another busy night in store.
Mitchell is averaging 3.4 3-pointers per game this year and NBA Bet Pro has him racking up 4. That gives the over an expected win rate of 65%, which slots in well above the implied odds of 60.6% available at Caesars Sportsbook. Readers yet to register at there can secure first-bet insurance of up to $1,250!
Best NBA Player Prop: Donovan Mitchell Over 2.5 3-Pointers (-154) at Caesars
Evan Mobley O/U 0.5 3-Pointers
Another Cleveland Cavalier, Evan Mobley, could produce some solid numbers from beyond the arc. Although Mobley doesn’t often jack up threes, as he is averaging only 0.2 per game, the books have juiced the line up a bit too high.
NBA Bet Pro projects Mobley for 0.4 3-pointers tonight, which gives this play an expected win rate of 23%. That may sound low, but it’s better than the implied odds available at DraftKings (21.8%), which is enough to give this play plenty of value. New users at DraftKings can secure $200 in bonus bets after placing a $5 wager. Those in Ohio can access that deal via this link instead
Best NBA Player Prop: Evan Mobley Over 0.5 3-Pointers (+370) at DraftKings
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