The NBA Playoffs are here, and the intensity from here on out will be turned up a notch. There are players who crumble under the added pressure, while others step up and prove to everyone what type of player they truly are. This throws off NBA fantasy values a bit, especially for these first couple games. The Awesemo Boom vs. Bust Tool and NBA fantasy projections will help you navigate the range of outcomes for NBA DFS picks today. The following are some of the best picks on DraftKings and FanDuel based on their probabilities of booming or busting.
Boom/Bust NBA Fantasy Projections | May 22
NBA DraftKings + FanDuel Boom CandidatesÂ
Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Heat: $10,700/$10,900
55.6% DraftKings Boom/45.0% FanDuel Boom
Looking for revenge from last postseason’s exit, Giannis Antetokounmpo should be motivated to make a big statement here in Game 1 to set the tone for the rest of the NBA Playoffs. With Jrue Holiday now also demanding attention for Miami’s defense, they won’t be able to use all five guys to contain Giannis anymore. There shouldn’t be anyone on the Heat to slow him down individually, so he should use that combo of length and athleticism to put up a fantastic NBA fantasy day.
Jimmy Butler vs. Bucks: $8,400/$8,800
49.7% DraftKings Boom/43.1% FanDuel Boom
Playoff Butler is a different animal. Holiday recently said that the Bucks have more talent than the Heat, and Butler will likely have something to say about that. His price will likely be increased quickly for the rest of the playoffs, so play him today if you’re excited about him. There’s no more managing minutes and holding back for the Heat star. According to the Awesemo NBA DFS projections, Butler is looking like a virtual lock for at least 45 fantasy points.
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Kawhi Leonard vs. Mavericks: $8,000/$8,800
49.7% DraftKings Boom/32.4% FanDuel Boom
Speaking of managing minutes and holding back, those are the themes of Kawhi Leonard‘s 2021 regular season. However, the playoffs are here, and we know he comes to play when the stakes are raised. Leonard also comes with a modest price, which will almost definitely be increased for Game 2, at least at DraftKings. With Paul George possibly looking like “Pandemic P” again today, it requires Leonard to step up and be “the guy” from here on out.
NBA DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates
Tyler Herro vs. Bucks: $6,000/$5,400
92.8% DraftKings Bust/89.0% FanDuel Bust
If you haven’t watched the NBA since last playoffs, you may be surprised to see Herro here. He was one of the biggest stories from last season’s bubble. However, maybe it was the reduced offseason, but he hasn’t progressed much. Teams know how to slow him down at least a little better, and he doesn’t have a massive role, due to Kendrick Nunn stepping up and Goran Dragic being healthy. While Herro could hit value, his price is such that his volatility is too much of a risk for most people, and rightfully so.
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