Thursday’s NBA slate may be small but it features four playoff teams including a battle in Milwaukee as the Celtics look to make one final push for the number one seed in the Eastern Conference. Let’s take a look at the top three NBA player props on NBA Bet Pro for Thursday, March 30.
Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 30
3. Jamal Murray Under 34.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-113, FanDuel)
Jamal Murray’s points + rebounds + assists under is listed as a 6% EV on NBA Bet Pro at the time of publishing against the nine-seeded New Orleans Pelicans. With a healthy and loaded Denver Nuggets team, Murray’s usage rate can be sporadic. He averages a 26% usage rate in 61 games this season but has had three games with under 23% usage in the last five.
With both teams ranking in the middle of the NBA in pace and teammate Nikola Jokic gunning for his third straight MVP award, Murray could be in line to take a backseat.
2. Brandon Ingram Under 6.5 Assists (-135, BetMGM)
In the same game, New Orleans forward Brandon Ingram is another fade candidate. He is averaging over eight assists in his last five games but a season average of 5.4. His teammates have racked up Ingram’s assists on limited opportunities. He is averaging only 11.2 assist opportunities per game. It will be tough to sustain these numbers against a Nuggets team that has allowed the third-fewest assists per game in their last seven games.
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1. Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 50.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-115, BetRivers)
Giannis Antetokounmpo tops the slate as the best EV play at 9% on NBA Bet Pro. Antetokounmpo went berserk last night against a woeful Indiana Pacers squad. He had a near triple-double in the first half and finished with 67 points + rebounds + assists. Tonight will be much tougher against a stingy Boston Celtics team that can contain him with Al Horford.
The Bucks will welcome back Khris Middleton who is a big offensive piece for Milwaukee and will take up some of Antetokounmpo’s usage. In 25 games played together, Antetokounmpo has been held below this number in 12 of them including the last four. In not much of a must-win game for the Bucks, who are three games ahead of the Celtics for the No. 1 seed in the East, Antetokounmpo could be limited in the second leg of a back-to-back.
