Sleeper Fantasy Predictions Today: Regression Candidate Jrue Holiday (June 12)

We cashed our MLB Sleeper entry from last night! The focus tonight shifts to the NBA Finals as the Mavericks now host the Celtics. The big news is once again focused on injury, as Kristaps Porzingis is questionable for Boston with a lower leg injury. On the other side, Luka Doncic is taking pain-killing shots to treat a thoracic contusion. If that’s not enough drama, we still have the disappearance of Kyrie Irving and the arrival of Jaylen Brown — with an assist from Jrue Holiday. now let’s get to our NBA Sleeper predictions for Wednesday’s Game 3.

Sleeper Fantasy Predictions Today — NBA Slate

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Pick on Sale: Jaylen Brown M/L Than 0.5 Points

This pick on sale is available for new users tonight, but we still recommend playing the bottom two picks for an entry.

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Jrue Holiday M/L Than 6.5 Rebounds

There are a couple of regression candidates for Game 3, especially with the Celtics now hitting the road. We know role players have a tendency to disappear or fade, but that also holds true for some supporting actors — better than role players — like Jrue Holiday. The Celtics will need his ability to facilitate and even knock down some shots depending on which player is struggling. With an expected void to fill from ancillary players, the ask may require a bunch more from both Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown.

Holiday’s matchup doesn’t get more difficult on the road; it’s just a matter of how much better Dallas plays at home. We got little from this team as it was swallowed by Boston’s defense, namely taking away deep 3s from the corner. There could be a bunch of reasons why Holiday ultimately fails to hit seven boards tonight, including Boston losing this game. He has dominated the above total in recent games, but that came with the comfort of demolishing a team at home. On the road in a long series, things find a way to regress.

Sleeper Prediction: Jrue Holiday LESS than 6.5 Rebounds

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Maxi Kleber M/L Than 2.5 Points

Just knock down a 3 and we all go home happy. The reality for Maxi Kleber is one that sees little action on the road, down big. He saw limited time in the first game but did get an increase in shot volume come Game 2. Despite going 0-for-4 and 0-for-2 from deep, Kleber was aggressive when it came to shooting the basketball. Unfortunately, that’s not all he was aggressive in doing, as he finished with four fouls in just 16 minutes. The good news is he still played 16 minutes despite the four fouls, but that’s just it — he’s a massive liability if he’s running around hacking people.

We look at shot volume and playing at home to help bump Kleber’s time on the floor, at least to maximize it. Dallas isn’t going to destroy Boston tonight, a luxury when it comes to this prop if so, but it should be able to rebalance some scales with the injury up front to Porzingis. That’s another way to limit the fouls for a backup big like Kleber. We don’t anticipate 20 minutes unless it’s a blowout, but he should get four or five looks — mostly from 3 — which gets him over the above total.

Sleeper Prediction: Maxi Kleber MORE than 2.5 Points

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