The 3 BEST NBA Player Props Bets & Picks Today: Luka Doncic & Jerami Grant 2/10/22

It seems safe to say that the NBA trade deadline delivered this year. In the aftermath of what has been a crazy day in the Association, it is very possible to lose sight of the fact that there are seven games scheduled for Thursday. It is certainly a great slate when it comes to NBA betting picks and player prop bets today. In fact, bettors might even be able to use the deadline trade movement to their advantage in trying to beat the books this evening. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best player props and bets is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet prop predictions for Thursday’s NBA action.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Jerami Grant Under 5.5 Rebounds (-144, FanDuel)

The last three games have seen Detroit Pistons forward Jerami Grant put up absolutely putrid performances. In addition to converting on only 11 of 39 field-goal attempts over that three-game stretch, Grant finished with no more than four rebounds in each game. He failed to eclipse tonight’s NBA player props total of 5.5 in all three contests. That prop line also sits a full board above Grant’s season rebounding average of 4.5. Thus, he would need to exceed his average by a full 1.5 rebounds in order to clear the NBA betting total.

Based on his recent showings, there is little reason to have confidence in Grant to go over on his rebounding prop tonight. Add in the fact that the Pistons face a Memphis Grizzlies team that has the best rebound rate in the NBA and the matchup does not do Grant any favors. Awesemo projects Grant for exactly 4.56 boards tonight and gives him a 69% chance to finish under the prop total of 5.5. OddsShopper even shows other sportsbooks listing this prop one full rebound lower at 4.5. Even with the -144 juice required to bet under the preferred line, this prop is still given an 18% ROI value.


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Luka Doncic Under 10.5 Assists (-135, PointsBet)

Dallas Maverick point guard Luka Doncic has been on fire as a playmaker of late. He enters Thursday night’s contest on the heels of seven straight games recording double-digit assists. Given that Doncic’s season average is only 9.2 helpers per game, he has been crushing his typical production as a distributor recently. However, it could prove to be an uphill battle for the Mavericks offensively tonight against the Los Angeles Clippers. Coming into Thursday, the Clippers rank eighth in defensive efficiency, allowing 106.5 points per 100 possessions.

OddsShopper also provides bettors with some helpful intel when it comes to assessing Doncic’s assist total ahead of tonight’s game. The vast majority of sportsbooks list this NBA player props line at 9.5 assists, a mark that falls closer to his season average. The elevated total of 10.5 assists is an outlier in the market. Even with the under side of this prop carrying -135 odds, Awesemo gives it an expected ROI of 19%. An exact projection of 9.18 helpers for Doncic comes in nearly 1.5 assists lower than the NBA betting total.

Kevon Looney Under 9.5 Rebounds (-108, FanDuel)

Considering that Golden State Warriors center Kevon Looney has only averaged 7.6 rebounds per game this season, it seems reasonable to say that tonight’s NBA player props total has gotten a bit carried away. While Looney did string together three straight games with double-digit rebound totals, he has only done so thrice in the last nine games overall. With OddsShopper showing tonight’s NBA prop bets line set at 9.5 across the market, Looney would need to record double-digit boards to go over. Even with Draymond Green and Nemanja Bjelica out of the lineup, Looney has not seen a drastic spike in his rebounding numbers.

Awesemo projects Looney for exactly 8.51 rebounds tonight. While that mark does exceed his season average by a substantial margin, it is also one full board lower than the NBA betting total. It is worth noting that the Warriors face a comparable top-10 team in rebound rate this evening. The New York Knicks are tied for seventh in the metric so far this season. At favorable -108 odds, this under prediction is given a solid ROI value of 26%.

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