Celtics vs Warriors NBA Finals Betting Picks, Predictions & Prop Bets

We have finally made it to the NBA Finals between the Golden State Warriors and Boston Celtics. Both teams had different paths to get here, but they are each playing incredible basketball at this time of the year. After a pretty lackluster NBA playoffs that featured several blowouts, this series should be electric. When healthy, these are two of the best teams in the league. So many storylines to consider in this NBA Finals. The return of Golden State. The rise of Boston. Let’s hope everyone can stay healthy and provide some great NBA Finals betting opportunities. Below are three of the most favorable Celtics vs. Warriors NBA Finals prop bets and predictions.

Celtics vs. Warriors 2022 NBA Finals Prop Bets

There will be a daily prop bets article for every game of the NBA Finals, but this article is geared towards the overall series. These are some of the best bets in terms of value, regardless of the side. For single-game prop bets, make sure to also look at OddsShopper, which will help decipher the best bet to take. Let’s dive into these bets!

Golden State Warriors Over 106 Points Per Game (-115)

The Golden State Warriors have relatively breezed through the Western Conference. They won in five games against the Denver Nuggets without Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. In the second round, they beat the Memphis Grizzlies in six games, three of those being without Ja Morant. Finally, the Warriors beat the Dallas Mavericks in five games to reach the NBA Finals. Injury luck was on their side, but they are also extremely tough to beat when they are fully healthy. During their playoff run, the Warriors have averaged a league-best 114.5 points per game while shooting 49.3% from the field and 37.9% from behind the arc. Their offense flows so smoothly, which is why they also lead the league in the playoffs with 28.3 assists per game. Facing a defense like the Boston Celtics will be tough, but the Warriors can be defenseless given their movement on offense. Below are the Warriors’ points per game in each playoff series, along with their opponents’ regular-season defensive rating and pace, displaying they can fill it up no matter who they are playing against when they are healthy. This line feels way too low for this historically great offense. To compare, the Celtics led the league in defensive rating and were 24th in pace.

Opponent: Denver Nuggets

Points Per Game 118.0
Opp. Def. Rating 15th
Opp. Pace 20th

Opponent: Memphis Grizzlies

Points Per Game 111.0
Opp. Def. Rating 6th
Opp. Pace 4th

Opponent: Dallas Mavericks

Points Per Game 115.2
Opp. Def. Rating 7th
Opp. Pace 30th

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Jayson Tatum to Average 25+ PPG & Celtics to Win Finals (+160)

It is very difficult to bet against the Warriors in the NBA Finals when they have the experience and are proven champions. If they are going to lose, it will be due to monster performances from Jayson Tatum, who ranks sixth in the playoffs with 27.0 points per game. The Miami Heat defense gave Tatum trouble in their last series, and he still managed to average 25.0 points per game. Tatum has a 29.9% usage rate during this playoff run while shooting 44.6% from the field and 37.5% from behind the arc. Overall for the series, the Celtics are +130 to win the series, so adding +30 points with Tatum to average 25+ points per game seems like the right bet to make. During the regular season, Tatum averaged 26.5 points per game against the Warriors even though they were not fully healthy at that time. Not having the homecourt advantage is also not a concern, as Tatum not only shot better on the road but averaged over 1 more point per game as well. The Celtics have had a tough playoff run since each opponent presented a tough challenge, but the rise of Tatum’s game is starting to show the deeper he gets. This will obviously be his first NBA Finals appearance in his five-year career and the first for all of this Celtics team, but he seems ready for this moment.

Tatum is also -125 to lead the series in total points. If betting the Warriors to win the NBA Finals, still consider Tatum to be the top point scorer overall. He will have to do quite a bit from an offensive standpoint to keep the Celtics competitive.

Stephen Curry Over 2+ Made 3-Pointers Every Game (-130)

This Stephen Curry prop seems to be one of the best player props on the board. Curry has made at least two 3-pointers in all 16 playoff games this season. He is averaging 3.8 made 3-pointers per game during the playoffs and led the league with 4.5 per game during the regular season. There are also options to take more than two-plus made 3-pointers. DraftKings Sportsbook has Curry at three-plus (+250) and four-plus (1800). Four 3-pointers every game might be a stretch, but three-plus per game is certainly in play, as Curry has accomplished that in 13 of his 16 playoff games. Regardless of which bet, Curry is in a great spot to take down this prop bet. It has been an interesting shooting season for Curry, as he averaged a career-low 43.7% from the field and 38.0% from downtown. Even over his last five playoffs, Curry has averaged well over four 3-pointers per game in each season. The Celtics will create some problems for Curry defensively, as they allow the third-fewest 3-pointers made and attempted during the playoffs. Marcus Smart also just won the Defensive Player of the Year Award and will be the primary defender on Curry, which will be incredible to watch. Another interesting fact is Curry has a prop bet of 3.7 average made 3-pointers per game. Obviously, that is per game and not every game like this prop bet, but that is a high projected average number. Consider taking three-plus per game.

Another Curry avenue to take could be highest-scoring performance at +140 and/or series leader in 3-pointers made at -120.

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