Cole K’s Best NBA Bet Today: NBA Betting Picks & Predictions 2/28/22

The NBA is back in full swing after the All-Star break, and there is a seven-game slate on Monday night. Rather than focusing on the old-fashioned NBA picks against the spread and over/under bets, let’s use Monday’s slate to focus on some NBA player props using OddsShopper. The player prop market continues to grow as the sports gambling market expands, and because it has become so relevant, it only makes sense to take advantage of the great value on tonight’s slate. Let’s break down the best NBA bets today and see what player props we can exploit on Monday, Feb. 28.

Follow me on Twitter (@CKPicks23) for any late-breaking news or changes to the best player props or my NBA picks throughout the day.

Best NBA Bets & Picks Today

Kings vs. Thunder: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Prop Bets

The first play of the night comes from the Oklahoma City Thunder hosting the Sacramento Kings at 8 p.m. ET. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has a rebound prop of 5.5, and the under presents strong value. According to OddsShopper, the under at -120 odds currently has a 77% chance at winning. With a 77% chance of winning and a strong 58% expected ROI, the -120 odds make this bet a no-brainer on tonight’s slate. Taking an under in the player prop market is something that not many people take advantage of, but in his last thirty games, Gilgeous-Alexander has only surpassed this number in six of them. He failed to surpass 5.5 rebounds in two games against Sacramento this season, and to top it off, a hit rate of only 31% on his full season provides even further reason to take the under. Although Gilgeous-Alexander is a great all-around player, rebounding is not necessarily his strong suit, and thus the under is the play tonight.

Best NBA Bet Today: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Under 5.5 Rebounds (-120)


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Hornets vs. Bucks: LaMelo Bell Prop Bets

The second prop of the night will be another rebounding prop, which is currently sitting at plus odds. Similar to Gilgeous-Alexander, LaMelo Ball has a rebounding line currently sitting at 5.5 with +106 odds to the over. OddsShopper currently gives this over a 59% chance at winning and a strong 22% ROI. Ball has hit this number in nineteen of his last 30 games while also being consistent over the full season, cashing this number in 35 of 55 games for a 64% win percentage. Milwaukee ranks in the middle of the league for rebounds allowed, and Ball has been averaging 32.7 minutes played per game. He will probably exceed that tonight with the Hornets being underdogs and needing heavy minutes from their starters to keep the game competitive. Ball is fresh off of a seven-rebound performance yesterday, and he has gone over 5.5 rebounds in the second game of a back-to-back seven times in 10 opportunities. With Ball logging such heavy minutes and being relied upon to stuff the stat sheet on a night-to-night basis, feel confident in the over tonight against the Bucks.

Best NBA Bet Today: LaMelo Ball Over 5.5 Rebounds (+106)

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