NBA Player Props: Big Night for Kristaps Porzingis (March 28)

The NBA playoffs have almost arrived. Value abounds on the NBA betting markets for this evening — if you know where to look. Bettors searching for the best NBA player props may find it hard to break down each game on the card this time of year, and even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Kristaps Porzingis player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Tuesday.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 28

Kristaps Porzingis Prop O/U 7.5 Rebounds

The Washington Wizards will square off against the Boston Celtics tonight in a game the Celtics are favored to win by a double-digit margin. But as Boston gears up for the playoffs, the team may take its foot off the gas. Boston is locked into a playoff spot but trails the Milwaukee Bucks by two games for the top seed and leads the Philadelphia 76ers by three games for the second seed.

With Bradley Beal, Daniel Gafford and Kyle Kuzma all out, Kristaps Porzingis stands out as the best rebounder in Washington’s starting lineup. The books have set the total for this prop at a lowly 7.5, but NBA Bet Pro projects him for 8.8 rebounds. This play owns an expected win rate of 58% at BetRivers, so head there for the best deal on the market. Bettors can find plenty of other mispriced props by subscribing to NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Kristaps Porzingis Over 7.5 Rebounds (-120) at BetRivers

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Scottie Barnes Prop O/U 26.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (PRA)

The Toronto Raptors will take on the shorthanded Miami Heat this evening. Jimmy Butler popped up on the injury report early in the day and has since been ruled out with a neck injury. With Butler out, the books have adjusted some of Toronto’s player prop lines — albeit by a bit too much.

Scottie Barnes is averaging 27 PRA per game this year but only 24.8 PRA per game since the All-Star Break. Toronto’s addition of Jakob Poeltl has cut into his workload as an interior scorer. Barnes should record only 24.3 PRA tonight, giving the under an expected win rate of 54% — better than the implied odds (52%) available at BetMGM. Readers new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book.

Best NBA Player Prop: Scottie Barnes Under 26.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (-110) at BetMGM

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P.J. Washington Prop O/U 3.5 Assists

The Charlotte Hornets will line up against the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight. The Hornets have ruled out one of their young centers, Mark Williams, while the Thunder have ruled out their best player, Shai Gilgeous Alexander. LaMelo Ball remains on the shelf for Charlotte.

Power forward P.J. Washington is projected for only 2.7 assists tonight, per NBA Bet Pro. That leaves him with a 64% chance of staying under this total, giving bettors who back the under an edge against the implied odds available at Caesars Sportsbook (60.9%). Readers yet to register at Caesars can get their first bet on the house up to $1,250

Best NBA Player Prop: P.J. Washington Under 3.5 Assists (-156) at Caesars

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Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.