Best NBA Player Props: Time to Fade Jaylen Brown? (March 17)

The NCAA Tournament marches on, but bettors eager to get exposure to some professional basketball can still find plenty of value on the NBA player prop markets. Still, bettors looking to find the best NBA player props can easily get overwhelmed by the onslaught of on-court action this time of year. Even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Jaylen Brown player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Friday.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 17

Tyus Jones Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers 

The Memphis Grizzlies still don’t have Ja Morant, so that leaves Tyus Jones to lead the way at point guard. Jones is a solid role player and takes smart shots. He has averaged 16.3 points and 2 3-pointers per game since taking over for Morant earlier this month.

Jones should bang in 2.3 3-pointers tonight, which gives this play an expected win rate of 59%. That’s better than the implied odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook (56.5%). Bettors can find plenty of other plays with a similar edge by subscribing to NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Tyus Jones Over 1.5 3-Pointers (-130) at DraftKings


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Austin Reaves Prop O/U 12.5 Points 

The Los Angeles Lakers are making a push for the play-in tournament. They have looked better in recent weeks than for most of the year, which corresponds with Austin Reaves taking a big step forward — guard is averaging 15.5 points per game since the All-Star Break.

However, NBA Bet Pro expects Reaves to regress to the mean tonight. Reaves is averaging only 11.5 points per game this year and has a reasonably tough matchup against the slow-paced Dallas Mavericks. He should score only 11.3 points tonight, which gives the under an expected win rate of 54%, better than the implied odds (51%) available at Caesars Sportsbook. Readers yet to register at Caesars can get their first bet on the house up to $1,250!

Best NBA Player Prop: Austin Reaves Under 12.5 Points (-104) at Caesars

Jaylen Brown Prop O/U 7.5 

The Boston Celtics will play the struggling Portland Trail Blazers tonight, and NBA Bet Pro thinks that there is some value on the under for Jaylen Brown’s player props. Brown is averaging 6.9 rebounds per game but has a total set to 7.5 with the juice stacked in neither direction.

Brown should come down with only 6.7 rebounds tonight in what could devolve into a blowout. That gives the under an expected win rate of 55%, better than the implied odds available at BetMGM (52%). Readers new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book.

Best NBA Player Prop: Jaylen Brown Under 7.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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Author
Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.

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