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DraftKings and FanDuel NBA Slam Dunks, Wednesday 3/7

Alex Baker



Justin Holliday  (3700 DK, 4500 FD) – Like today’s other play, Holliday’s appeal comes from pricing inefficiency.  As part of the Bull’s youth movement (read: tanking), regular starters Holiday and Robin Lopez have sat out multiple games in the past couple weeks.  But when they do play, they start and tend to get their usual minutes.  Holiday has sat five of the last six, but he collected 35 minutes in the one game he played.  His price on both sites is way too cheap for any player expected to log 30+.  Be warned, however, there is some uncertainty here.  The Bulls may only be playing him because the NBA warned them about resting players yesterday, so his full set of minutes aren’t guaranteed.  Probability of top 3 positional value: 29.8% DK, 31.05% FD.  [UPDATE: Reports are emerging that Holiday won’t play very much so I won’t have much of him tonight]

Brook Lopez (4800 DK, 5800 FD) – Lopez’s transition to LA hasn’t been a smooth one.  He hasn’t gotten the minutes everyone expected, but is still an offensive force to be reckoned with when on the floor.  He’s starting tonight and should get the minutes he needs to far exceed value at his current price tags.  Even though his PT3 is lower on DK, he is a better player there because of the lower price(there are just more centers to pick there). Additionally, LA has been on an offensive tear recently scoring 120+ in three of their last six and have an implied total of 115+.  They’ll also need to get to that number without Brandon Ingram and Josh Hart, who remain out tonight.  Look for a heavy dose of Lopez.  Probability of top 3 positional value: DK 18.0%, FD 27.3%.

Kobi Simmons (4100 DK, 3900 FD) – Simmons had a good scoring night replacing Mario Chalmers and Andrew Harrison, but his minutes were limited because of foul trouble.  Based on the rotations from that game, I expect him to play upwards of 30 minutes this evening.  At his price tag, he’s a steal!  Probability of top 3 positional value: DK 13.3%, FD 36.5%.

Larry Nance Jr. (6300 DK, 7500 FD) – With Tristan Thompson out, Nance played over 18 minutes in the first half.   With Jeff Green back, he might not see quite as many minutes, but at his per minute production, he will be a popular play tonight.  Probability of top 3 positional value: DK 20.7%, FD 17%.

A self-proclaimed U.S. history buff, stats enthusiast, and rabid fan of anything Detroit (yes, even the Lions), Alex started playing daily fantasy sports in 2013 and never looked back. After graduating with a degree in mathematics from Washington University in St. Louis in 2008, he began developing advanced statistical models and applied his unique skill-set first to poker, then as a full-time DFS player. He has since dominated DFS, becoming a fixture on leaderboards and cementing his position as the top-ranked overall player according to RotoGrinders. Competing in most guaranteed prize pool tournaments, he has ranked in the top 3 across major sports, including NBA, NFL, NHL, PGA, and MLB. He enjoys sharing his knowledge of fantasy sports with new and experienced players alike. Career Highlights: No. 1 Overall Ranking; 14x FanDuel $100k winner, 11x DraftKings Hundred-Thousandaire; 20x Live Final qualifier. You can contact him on Twitter @awesemodfs or by emailing [email protected].

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