NBA Player Props: Donte DiVincenzo Will Own This One Area (March 2)

Today’s NBA Bet Pro player props article has the top 3 NBA player props on DraftKings for Thursday, March 2. Although the slate may be riskier, there’s still plenty of opportunity to maximize profits with the help of NBA Bet Pro, a platform designed to uncover leverage points in the lines. And the best part? You can try it out with a one-week free trial. So let’s get started and find out which player props you should be targeting today.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | March 2

3. Kevon Looney Under 10.5 Rebounds (+100)

This is a decent game environment for rebounds — as will be covered later — just not so much for Looney. For starters, Looney’s season average is well below this line (9.1 per game) and he has only hit 11 rebounds in 21 of 62 games this year (33.9%). The Clippers also have the No. 11 rebound rate in the NBA and added Mason Plumlee at the trade deadline, and he is averaging eight rebounds a game as a Clipper. Plus, like the Warriors, the Clippers have the ability to go small, which may reduce Looney’s minutes. NBA Bet Pro currently projects Looney for 25 minutes and 9.7 rebounds, giving the under a 53% expected win rate and an EV of 7%.

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2. Donte DiVincenzo Over 4.5 Rebounds (+100)

On the other hand, that potential for small ball plus Golden State’s injuries are working strongly in DiVincenzo’s favor. He is projecting for 33.1 minutes, and DiVincenzo has grabbed at least five rebounds seven times in 12 games in which he played at least 33 minutes. Only Klay Thompson and Draymond Green project for more playing time for the Warriors tonight.

Clippers-Warriors also has the second-highest total of the four games (232.5 to 233.5), and over their last five, the Clippers have played at a slightly faster pace than Golden State, making this a hair-above-neutral matchup. With little competition for rebounds among perimeter players, DiVincenzo projects for 5.4 rebounds and a 54% expected win rate.

1. Delon Wright Over 1.5 Steals (+110)

Wright is the sleeper play du jour in both fantasy and betting markets. With Monte Morris out, Wright is going to get all the point guard minutes he can handle against the Raptors. And though Toronto is the least turnover-prone team in the NBA, Wright is averaging 1.9 steals per game in 22.9 minutes, and tonight he is slated for 30.5 minutes. That alone is pushing his steal projection up to 2.4, and that is before considering he has multiple steals in 20 of 32 games this season (62.5%).

Steals props are usually sub-50% wagers, but Wright’s numbers are so consistent that the over on 1.5 is getting a 55% win rate and a whopping 17% EV on NBA Bet Pro.

Author

Sam Smith

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.