NBA DFS Projections Today: Luka Doncic Tops Them All (March 2)

The incredible value this week is gone on tonight’s four-game slate. But things can change in a hurry, so be sure to pay attention to the news and check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to listen in on smart analysis of how breaking news affects the slate. And as always, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are great resources to help you construct DFS lineups that project well and offer some leverage points on the field.

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NBA DFS Picks Leverage & Optimizer Plays | March 2

High-End Tier

Luka Doncic ($11,900) has the highest projection on the slate despite a tough matchup with a 76ers team that plays at the 26th-fastest pace in the league and has the seventh-best defensive rating. Doncic is projected for 17% ownership, a 20% chance of booming and 21% chance of being optimal according to the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

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Mid-Tier

Jeremy Sochan ($5,200) is one of the best point-per-dollar plays on the slate in a nice matchup with a Pacers team that is top 10 in the league in pace of play and bottom 10 in defensive rating. Sochan is projected for 26% ownership, a 22% chance of booming and 31% chance of being optimal.

Jakob Poeltl ($6,200) has been a fantasy monster since returned to the Raptors and is one of the top leverage plays on the slate. Poeltl is projected for 9% ownership, a 13% chance of booming and 15% chance of being optimal.

Value Tier

Charles Bassey ($3,800) is currently the top value play of the slate. Bassey is projected for 26% ownership, a 24% chance of booming and 29% chance of being optimal.

Doug McDermott ($3,300), like Bassey, projects well in limited minutes. McDermott is projected for 20% ownership, an 8% chance of booming and 19% chance of being optimal.

With the value being relatively weak on this slate, it is even more important to pay attention to late-breaking news. T.J. McConnell ($3,600) will become a huge priority if Tyrese Haliburton, who is questionable to play, is ultimately ruled out, for example.

Author

Neil Orfield

Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.