PGA Weather Splits for Daily Fantasy Golf and Betting

Stokastic's PGA DFS Weather Splits

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Name	DK Salary	SG_Weather	R1TeeTime	R2TeeTime	r1avg	r2avg	R1StrokesGained	R2StrokesGained
Scottie Scheffler	13,200	0.01	14.2	8.8	6.7	3.8	-0.06	0.07
Rory McIlroy	12,000	-0.03	8.3	13.7	3.0	7.7	0.10	-0.13
Jon Rahm	11,400	0.02	14.0	8.6	6.5	3.8	-0.05	0.07
Xander Schauffele	10,900	-0.01	7.9	13.3	3.0	7.4	0.10	-0.11
Brooks Koepka	10,800	-0.05	8.6	14.0	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.14
Ludvig Aberg	10,500	-0.01	7.9	13.3	3.0	7.4	0.10	-0.11
Collin Morikawa	10,200	0.03	13.9	8.4	6.4	3.8	-0.04	0.07
Patrick Cantlay	10,000	0.01	14.4	9.0	6.8	3.8	-0.07	0.07
Cameron Smith	9,800	-0.04	8.4	13.9	3.0	7.9	0.10	-0.14
Max Homa	9,700	-0.05	8.6	14.0	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.14
Bryson DeChambeau	9,600	-0.05	9.0	14.4	3.0	8.1	0.10	-0.15
Wyndham Clark	9,500	0.01	14.2	8.8	6.7	3.8	-0.06	0.07
Joaquin Niemann	9,400	0.04	13.7	8.3	6.2	3.8	-0.04	0.07
Justin Thomas	9,300	-0.01	7.9	13.3	3.0	7.4	0.10	-0.11
Viktor Hovland	9,200	-0.04	8.4	13.9	3.0	7.9	0.10	-0.14
Will Zalatoris	9,100	0.01	14.4	9.0	6.8	3.8	-0.07	0.07
Cameron Young	9,000	0.02	14.0	8.6	6.5	3.8	-0.05	0.07
Matt Fitzpatrick	8,900	0.03	13.9	8.4	6.4	3.8	-0.04	0.07
Jordan Spieth	8,800	-0.05	8.6	14.0	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.14
Tommy Fleetwood	8,700	-0.05	9.0	14.4	3.0	8.1	0.10	-0.15
Hideki Matsuyama	8,600	-0.04	8.4	13.9	3.0	7.9	0.10	-0.14
Sam Burns	8,500	0.00	14.6	9.2	6.9	3.9	-0.07	0.07
Shane Lowry	8,400	0.05	13.3	7.9	5.9	3.8	-0.02	0.07
Tony Finau	8,300	-0.05	8.8	14.2	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.15
Tyrrell Hatton	8,200	-0.05	8.8	14.2	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.15
Sahith Theegala	8,100	-0.05	8.8	14.2	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.15
Dustin Johnson	8,000	-0.03	8.3	13.7	3.0	7.7	0.10	-0.13
Patrick Reed	8,000	0.00	14.6	9.2	6.9	3.9	-0.07	0.07
Jason Day	7,900	0.05	13.3	7.9	5.9	3.8	-0.02	0.07
Sungjae Im	7,900	0.02	14.1	8.7	6.6	3.8	-0.06	0.07
Byeong Hun An	7,800	-0.03	8.2	13.6	3.0	7.7	0.10	-0.12
Tom Kim	7,800	0.04	13.7	8.3	6.2	3.8	-0.04	0.07
Min Woo Lee	7,700	0.04	13.5	8.1	6.0	3.8	-0.03	0.07
Si Woo Kim	7,700	0.05	13.2	7.8	5.9	3.8	-0.02	0.07
Talor Gooch	7,600	0.06	13.1	7.7	5.8	3.8	-0.02	0.07
Corey Conners	7,600	-0.04	8.4	13.8	3.0	7.8	0.10	-0.13
Brian Harman	7,500	0.01	14.2	8.8	6.7	3.8	-0.06	0.07
Sepp Straka	7,500	-0.05	9.2	14.6	3.0	8.1	0.10	-0.15
Nicolai Hojgaard	7,400	0.05	13.3	7.9	5.9	3.8	-0.02	0.07
Rickie Fowler	7,400	0.02	14.0	8.6	6.5	3.8	-0.05	0.07
Adam Scott	7,300	-0.02	8.1	13.5	3.0	7.6	0.10	-0.12
Russell Henley	7,300	0.00	7.7	13.1	3.0	7.3	0.10	-0.10
Akshay Bhatia	7,200	-0.05	9.0	14.4	3.0	8.1	0.10	-0.15
Alex Noren	7,200	0.05	13.2	7.8	5.9	3.8	-0.02	0.07
Stephan Jaeger	7,100	0.00	7.7	13.1	3.0	7.3	0.10	-0.10
Keegan Bradley	7,100	-0.02	8.1	13.5	3.0	7.6	0.10	-0.12
Dean Burmester	7,000	-0.05	9.4	14.8	3.1	8.0	0.09	-0.15
Adam Schenk	7,000	-0.04	8.4	13.8	3.0	7.8	0.10	-0.13
Justin Rose	6,900	-0.03	8.3	13.7	3.0	7.7	0.10	-0.13
Chris Kirk	6,900	0.04	13.5	8.1	6.0	3.8	-0.03	0.07
Tiger Woods	6,800	-0.02	8.1	13.5	3.0	7.6	0.10	-0.12
Matthieu Pavon	6,800	0.05	13.4	8.0	6.0	3.8	-0.03	0.07
Adrian Meronk	6,700	0.02	7.3	12.8	3.0	6.9	0.10	-0.08
Aaron Rai	6,700	0.07	12.9	7.4	5.5	3.8	-0.01	0.07
Christiaan Bezuidenhout	6,600	0.02	14.1	8.7	6.6	3.8	-0.06	0.07
Cameron Davis	6,600	0.06	13.1	7.7	5.8	3.8	-0.02	0.07
Keith Mitchell	6,600	0.01	14.3	8.9	6.7	3.8	-0.06	0.07
J.T. Poston	6,500	0.05	13.4	8.0	6.0	3.8	-0.03	0.07
Harris English	6,500	0.06	13.1	7.7	5.8	3.8	-0.02	0.07
Kurt Kitayama	6,500	-0.05	8.7	14.1	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.14
Eric Cole	6,400	-0.03	8.2	13.6	3.0	7.7	0.10	-0.12
Ryan Fox	6,400	0.00	7.6	13.0	3.0	7.2	0.10	-0.10
Tom Hoge	6,400	0.05	13.2	7.8	5.9	3.8	-0.02	0.07
Denny McCarthy	6,300	0.06	12.9	7.5	5.6	3.8	-0.01	0.07
Adam Hadwin	6,300	-0.02	8.0	13.4	3.0	7.5	0.10	-0.12
Jake Knapp	6,300	0.04	13.6	8.2	6.1	3.8	-0.03	0.07
Taylor Moore	6,200	-0.05	9.3	14.7	3.1	8.1	0.09	-0.15
Billy Horschel	6,200	0.04	13.5	8.1	6.0	3.8	-0.03	0.07
Thomas Detry	6,200	0.03	13.8	8.4	6.3	3.8	-0.04	0.07
Lucas Glover	6,100	0.00	7.7	13.1	3.0	7.3	0.10	-0.10
Nick Taylor	6,100	-0.05	9.2	14.6	3.0	8.1	0.10	-0.15
Phil Mickelson	6,100	0.03	13.9	8.4	6.4	3.8	-0.04	0.07
Taylor Pendrith	6,000	-0.02	8.0	13.4	3.0	7.5	0.10	-0.12
Lucas Herbert	6,000	0.01	7.5	12.9	3.0	7.1	0.10	-0.09
Gary Woodland	6,000	0.04	13.7	8.3	6.2	3.8	-0.04	0.07
C.T. Pan	6,000	-0.02	15.0	9.5	7.1	4.0	-0.08	0.06
Keita Nakajima	5,900	0.06	12.9	7.5	5.6	3.8	-0.01	0.07
Robert Macintyre	5,900	-0.04	8.5	14.0	3.0	7.9	0.10	-0.14
Maverick McNealy	5,900	-0.01	14.8	9.4	7.0	3.9	-0.08	0.07
Beau Hossler	5,800	0.02	14.1	8.7	6.6	3.8	-0.06	0.07
David Puig	5,800	0.07	12.8	7.3	5.4	3.8	0.00	0.07
Nick Dunlap	5,800	-0.04	8.4	13.8	3.0	7.8	0.10	-0.13
Mackenzie Hughes	5,800	0.03	14.0	8.5	6.4	3.8	-0.05	0.07
Matt Wallace	5,700	0.00	7.6	13.0	3.0	7.2	0.10	-0.10
Erik Van Rooyen	5,700	-0.05	9.5	14.9	3.1	8.0	0.09	-0.15
Austin Eckroat	5,700	0.03	14.0	8.5	6.4	3.8	-0.05	0.07
Brendon Todd	5,700	0.01	14.3	8.9	6.7	3.8	-0.06	0.07
Victor Perez	5,700	-0.05	8.7	14.1	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.14
Sebastian Soderberg	5,700	0.07	12.7	7.3	5.4	3.8	0.00	0.07
Adrian Otaegui	5,700	-0.05	9.5	15.0	3.1	8.0	0.09	-0.14
Ben Griffin	5,700	-0.05	9.4	14.8	3.1	8.0	0.09	-0.15
Rasmus Hojgaard	5,700	0.03	13.8	8.4	6.3	3.8	-0.04	0.07
Chris Gotterup	5,700	-0.02	14.9	9.5	7.0	4.0	-0.08	0.07
Mark Hubbard	5,600	-0.01	14.8	9.4	7.0	3.9	-0.08	0.07
Takumi Kanaya	5,600	-0.05	9.2	14.6	3.0	8.1	0.10	-0.15
Luke List	5,600	0.03	14.0	8.5	6.4	3.8	-0.05	0.07
Patrick Rodgers	5,600	-0.05	9.3	14.7	3.1	8.1	0.09	-0.15
Kyoung-Hoon Lee	5,600	-0.05	9.1	14.5	3.0	8.1	0.10	-0.15
Tim Widing	5,600	-0.05	9.5	15.0	3.1	8.0	0.09	-0.14
Andrew Putnam	5,600	0.06	13.0	7.6	5.7	3.8	-0.01	0.07
Emiliano Grillo	5,600	-0.01	14.7	9.3	6.9	3.9	-0.07	0.07
Ryo Hisatsune	5,600	-0.01	7.8	13.2	3.0	7.4	0.10	-0.11
Alex Smalley	5,600	0.01	7.4	12.9	3.0	7.0	0.10	-0.08
Lee Hodges	5,500	-0.04	8.5	14.0	3.0	7.9	0.10	-0.14
Thriston Lawrence	5,500	0.07	12.8	7.3	5.4	3.8	0.00	0.07
Francesco Molinari	5,500	0.04	13.6	8.2	6.1	3.8	-0.03	0.07
Thorbjorn Olesen	5,500	0.01	14.3	8.9	6.7	3.8	-0.06	0.07
Jordan L. Smith	5,500	0.07	12.9	7.4	5.5	3.8	-0.01	0.07
Doug Ghim	5,500	0.02	7.3	12.8	3.0	6.9	0.10	-0.08
Adam Svensson	5,500	-0.01	7.8	13.2	3.0	7.4	0.10	-0.11
Alejandro Tosti	5,500	-0.01	14.7	9.3	6.9	3.9	-0.07	0.07
Ryan Van Velzen	5,500	-0.05	8.9	14.3	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.15
Seonghyeon Kim	5,500	-0.02	15.0	9.5	7.1	4.0	-0.08	0.06
Padraig Harrington	5,400	0.00	14.6	9.2	6.9	3.9	-0.07	0.07
Jesper Svensson	5,400	0.00	14.5	9.1	6.8	3.8	-0.07	0.07
Andy Ogletree	5,400	-0.05	9.5	14.9	3.1	8.0	0.09	-0.15
Martin Kaymer	5,400	-0.02	8.0	13.4	3.0	7.5	0.10	-0.12
Ben Kohles	5,400	0.01	7.4	12.9	3.0	7.0	0.10	-0.08
Peter Malnati	5,400	-0.05	8.7	14.1	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.14
Alexander Bjork	5,400	-0.03	8.2	13.6	3.0	7.7	0.10	-0.12
Charley Hoffman	5,400	0.06	13.0	7.6	5.7	3.8	-0.01	0.07
Sami Valimaki	5,300	-0.05	9.1	14.5	3.0	8.1	0.10	-0.15
Brice Garnett	5,300	0.00	14.5	9.1	6.8	3.8	-0.07	0.07
Kazuma Kobori	5,300	0.07	12.7	7.3	5.4	3.8	0.00	0.07
Grayson Murray	5,300	0.01	7.5	12.9	3.0	7.1	0.10	-0.09
Vincent Norrman	5,300	-0.02	14.9	9.5	7.0	4.0	-0.08	0.07
Camilo Villegas	5,300	0.01	14.4	9.0	6.8	3.8	-0.07	0.07
Jimmy Walker	5,300	0.03	13.8	8.4	6.3	3.8	-0.04	0.07
Zac Blair	5,300	-0.05	8.9	14.3	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.15
Luke Donald	5,200	0.02	7.3	12.7	3.1	6.8	0.09	-0.07
Michael Block	5,200	0.02	7.3	12.7	3.1	6.8	0.09	-0.07
Jason Dufner	5,200	0.04	13.6	8.2	6.1	3.8	-0.03	0.07
Y.E. Yang	5,200	0.05	13.4	8.0	6.0	3.8	-0.03	0.07
Ben Polland	5,200	-0.05	8.9	14.3	3.0	8.0	0.10	-0.15
Andrew Svoboda	5,200	-0.05	9.4	14.8	3.1	8.0	0.09	-0.15
Tyler Collet	5,200	0.02	7.3	12.8	3.0	6.9	0.10	-0.08
Josh Bevell	5,200	0.07	12.9	7.4	5.5	3.8	-0.01	0.07
Evan Bowser	5,200	-0.01	14.7	9.3	6.9	3.9	-0.07	0.07
Preston Cole	5,100	-0.05	9.5	15.0	3.1	8.0	0.09	-0.14
Matt Dobyns	5,100	0.07	12.8	7.3	5.4	3.8	0.00	0.07
Larkin Gross	5,100	0.01	7.5	12.9	3.0	7.1	0.10	-0.09
Jared Jones	5,100	-0.05	9.3	14.7	3.1	8.1	0.09	-0.15
Brad Marek	5,100	-0.01	14.8	9.4	7.0	3.9	-0.08	0.07
Kyle Mendoza	5,100	-0.05	9.5	14.9	3.1	8.0	0.09	-0.15
Shaun Micheel	5,100	0.02	7.3	12.7	3.1	6.8	0.09	-0.07
Jesse Mueller	5,100	0.06	13.0	7.6	5.7	3.8	-0.01	0.07
Zac Oakley	5,100	-0.01	7.8	13.2	3.0	7.4	0.10	-0.11
Tracy Phillips	5,100	0.06	12.9	7.5	5.6	3.8	-0.01	0.07
Braden Shattuck	5,000	-0.02	15.0	9.5	7.1	4.0	-0.08	0.06
Josh Speight	5,000	0.00	7.6	13.0	3.0	7.2	0.10	-0.10
Jeremy Wells	5,000	-0.05	9.1	14.5	3.0	8.1	0.10	-0.15
Wyatt Worthington	5,000	-0.02	14.9	9.5	7.0	4.0	-0.08	0.07
Jeffrey Kellen	5,000	0.01	7.4	12.9	3.0	7.0	0.10	-0.08
John Somers	5,000	0.00	14.5	9.1	6.8	3.8	-0.07	0.07
Rich Beem	5,000	0.07	12.7	7.3	5.4	3.8	0.00	0.07
John Daly	5,000	-0.04	8.5	14.0	3.0	7.9	0.10	-0.14

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About Our PGA DFS Weather Splits

In PGA tournaments, golfers almost always tee up once in the morning and once in the afternoon in the first two rounds - either Thursday morning and Friday Afternoon or vice-versa. In general conditions for golfing are better earlier in the day, so this is done to give each golfer the best chance at even conditions. But wind can make a huge impact on PGA tournaments with what golfers get the better weather for their rounds. That difference can be even more significant for bets and DFS contests involving a single round. Since weather forecasts can predict wind intensity fairly accurately, we can use this information to gain an edge with our bets.

In this table we show what the average wind conditions are forecasted to be for each round, and how we expect that to impact a golfer's score on average. SG_Weather stands for shots gained weather and represents the average number of strokes advantage a golfer has relative to other golfers. These are weighted for the tournament's average conditions so each golfer's SG_Weather averages out to zero. R1avg and R2avg are the average wind speeds expected for that golfer's round. And the R1 and R2 Strokes Gained columns break down the impact on each individual round.

Tee times for round 1 aren't known until Tuesday evening and will be updated by Wednesday morning. Tee times for rounds 3 and 4 are determined after the conclusions of rounds 2 and 3, we will update the weather impacts for those rounds after the conclusions of the previous round.

How To Use Our PGA DFS Weather Splits Data

View the video below to see how our PGA DFS weather splits are used in real PGA DFS line-ups.

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Author

Alex Baker

A self-proclaimed U.S. history buff, stats enthusiast, and rabid fan of anything Detroit (yes, even the Lions), Alex started playing daily fantasy sports in 2013 and never looked back. After graduating with a degree in mathematics from Washington University in St. Louis in 2008, he began developing advanced statistical models and applied his unique skill-set first to poker, then as a full-time DFS player. He has since dominated DFS, becoming a fixture on leaderboards and cementing his position as the top-ranked overall player according to RotoGrinders. Competing in most guaranteed prize pool tournaments, he has ranked in the top 3 across major sports, including NBA, NFL, NHL, PGA, and MLB. He enjoys sharing his knowledge of fantasy sports with new and experienced players alike. Career Highlights: No. 1 Overall Ranking; 14x FanDuel $100k winner, 11x DraftKings Hundred-Thousandaire; 20x Live Final qualifier. You can contact him on Twitter @awesemodfs or by emailing [email protected].