NBA Player Props NHA: Trae Young on a Crazy Assist Heater (February 13)

The NBA has emerged from the short Super Bowl slate and now presents 11 games from which to make NBA player prop bets. There are a handful of good spots right now on NBA Bet Pro, with quite a few props pulling win rates over 60%. Let’s take a look at some of the best spots for No House Advantage‘s Vs. The House contest, including some unders on NBA superstars.

And just so you know, you can still get in on NBA Bet Pro with a seven-day free trial! See how the No. 1 NBA player prop tool can help you build your ROI.

NBA No House Advantage – Best NBA Player Props

Joel Embiid Under 10.5 Rebounds

While Embiid’s rebound numbers are decent this year, his 10.2 boards per game are still the worst output in that category of his career — excluding his 31-game rookie season. He also has a hit rate just under 50% on this line (21 of 43 games). And despite the Rockets being one of the league’s worst teams overall, they are somehow No. 1 in the NBA in rebound rate, led by Alperen Sengun’s 8.7 per game. Sengun projects for exactly that number tonight. On top of that, two other Rockets are projecting for at least six rebounds (Jabari Smith and K.J. Martin), and Embiid only recorded seven rebounds in his one matchup against Houston this year.

With Embiid projecting for 9.3 boards tonight, NBA Bet Pro gives this under a 66% expected win rate.

Latest NBA DFS Content

Trae Young Under 11.5 Assists

First things first, Young is on the injury report for tonight, but he is listed as probable. For now, Stokastic is projecting him to play and see 35.7 minutes.

NBA Bet Pro is frequently in favor of shorting hot streaks like Young’s that include a handful of really high totals in a short period of time. Young has recorded 12 assists or more in three straight and four out of five, but this is a regression spot for him. Young has yet to hit this over in four straight games this season, and he has only even done it in two straight games two other times beyond his current streak. Plus, Dejounte Murray has deferred as a playmaker a bit the last few games, whereas tonight he projects for 20.2 points and 6.1 assists, more in line with his season averages.

With that in mind, NBA Bet Pro has Young for 10.3 assists and a 66% chance of staying under 11.5.

Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Rebounds

This over will look even better if Andrew Wiggins ends up sitting because, for now, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections have him in and still like the over for Thompson’s rebounds.

Thompson is the inverse of Young, riding a cold streak on the glass that is due for some regression. He had exactly three rebounds in each of the last three games and had two the game before that. However, he averaged seven across the prior three games. He is also averaging 3.9 rebounds a game on the season and grabbed at least four in 23 of 44 games in 2022-23.

The Wizards when healthy present about a neutral rebounding matchup, but they could be without Kyle Kuzma. His absence would leave 7.5 projected rebounds up for grabs, and Wiggins’ questionable tag also creates some room. That said, with those two playing in the projections as of now, Thompson is pegged for 4.6 boards and a 66% chance of going over 3.5.

Edit: Andrew Wiggins is available, Kyle Kuzma ruled out.

Props for Cash
Get a Deposit Bonus up to $100

Author

Sam Smith

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.