NBA DFS gamers have a pair of playoff contests to choose from. Stokastic’s expert is here to offer insight on each game and to help you identify players who offer optimal NBA DFS value for your roster. We absolutely have to talk about how to handle the injured but discounted Julius Randle. Additionally, if you’re a new user eager to join the fun, don’t miss out on our special discount offer! By using the code ‘SCORE’, you can receive a remarkable 50% discount on your first week or first month.
NBA DFS Value and Advice | May 2
Miami Heat at New York Knicks (-6.5)
This matchup features several key players with questionable tags, including Julius Randle, Jalen Brunson and Jimmy Butler. As a result, it is essential to monitor their status leading up to tip-off to determine the best course of action. Assuming all three players take the floor, Randle could be a potential bargain at $6,900. However, given his health concerns, it is also essential to consider alternative options.
Two players who could fly under the radar on DraftKings are Mitchell Robinson and Josh Hart, both of whom are priced affordably at $5,600 and $5,900, respectively. Furthermore, RJ Barrett, Immanuel Quickley, and Brunson are intriguing GPP (Guaranteed Prize Pool) plays for tonight’s slate.
If Randle were to sit, Obi Toppin could see a substantial increase in minutes, while Brunson and Barrett could be in line for more opportunities. However, until there is more clarity regarding Randle’s status, it is best to avoid relying too heavily on any of these players.
On the Miami side, Kyle Lowry is an excellent value play after logging 30 minutes in Game 1. If Jimmy Butler is cleared to play, he has a tremendous ceiling and could be a difference-maker in tonight’s game. On the other hand, if Butler is out, Bam Adebayo becomes an even more appealing option with a higher chance of generating production. Additionally, Gabe Vincent, who saw 33 minutes of court time in Game 1, is another value play worth considering.
Finally, several Miami players are likely to get a chance to make an impact off the bench. However, given the uncertainty of who will get the minutes, it is challenging to identify a clear standout player among the pool of Max Strus, Caleb Martin and Duncan Robinson. As a result, it may be best to adopt a more conservative approach and consider only one or two of these players to maximize your potential returns.
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Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors (-5)
D’Angelo Russell and Austin Reaves continue to emerge as the top values from the Lakers, just as they did against the Memphis Grizzlies. For those looking to take a more aggressive approach, Anthony Davis and LeBron James offer significant potential upside, but it may require finding cheaper options to afford their salaries.
Jarred Vanderbilt, projected to be under-owned at just $3,900 on DraftKings, is an excellent NBA DFS value play with a 27 percent chance of being optimal and only a 16 percent projected ownership according to our boom/bust tool. Additionally, Dennis Schroder and Rui Hachimura offer cheap upside potential worthy of consideration.
On the Golden State side, Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson, Draymond Green and Andrew Wiggins are all highly owned on DraftKings, with projected ownership ranging from 33 to 43 percent. However, their high ownership is warranted, as they all have a significant chance of optimality that ranges from 31 to 40 percent.
While Donte DiVincenzo and Gary Payton II may be challenging to trust, their inexpensive salaries make them worth considering as they could potentially offer serviceable games. Kevon Looney and Jordan Poole are two players who offer significant potential upside, although Looney’s salary has increased since the Sacramento series. Poole, who is likely to play in the mid-twenties off the bench, will need to rely on his streaky shooting if he is going to succeed at $5,200.
