MLB DFS Contrarian Stacks Today: Stack Against Paul Skenes? (June 5)

In the midst of a six-game afternoon slate, we have a nine-game MLB slate that locks early at 6:40 p.m. ET on DraftKings. Using Stokastic’s MLB DFS Top Stack and Top Pitchers tools, let’s dive into the player pool to discuss the best MLB DFS contrarian picks and stacks for today’s action.

One of the keys to building a winning MLB DFS lineup is differentiation, so without contrarian picks like the ones below, you’ll struggle to separate from the pack in tournaments. Subscribe today for access to our industry-leading resources, including our lineup generator (available for NFL, NBA, MLB and PGA), our DFS simulation tools (available for NFL, NBA, MLB, PGA and MMA) and our industry-leading projections for every sport.

For a limited time only, you can use promo code MLBSIMSWEEK to get access to one week of our industry-leading MLB Sims Max, Sims Data or Data packages for 40% off by clicking here!

MLB DFS Contrarian Picks Today: Wednesday, June 5

React App

MLB DFS Contrarian Pitcher

Royals-Guardians: Brady Singer

Stokastic’s Top 2 Pitcher Rate
DraftKings: 9.8%
DFS Salary
DraftKings: $9,000

Even with nine games on tonight’s docket and good pitching options scattered across every price point, pitcher ownership is still very concentrated, with three pitchers projected to get the majority of love on DraftKings. As of this writing, Dylan Cease, Logan Gilbert and Paul Skenes are projected to eat up a combined 94.4% ownership, with Braxton Garrett and Carlos Rodon creeping up behind them. While all of those pitchers look good in their own right, that leaves a bunch of arms that are coming in underowned. Royals right-hander Brady Singer is firmly in that group, and he’s the top contrarian pitcher on DraftKings.

Through 11 starts this season, Singer sports a 2.63 ERA, 1.12 WHIP, 64, strikeouts and 19 walks across 61.2 innings. Singer’s 25% strikeout rate is the highest of his career, and as such, he’s much more viable for DFS purposes than he used to be. Though his 4.35 xERA calls for some major negative regression, the field is acting as if that’s guaranteed to come tonight by basically crossing him out of the player pool.

As of this writing, Singer is projected to be a top-2 pitcher 9.8% of the time this slate plays out. With only 1.0% of the field expected to roster them, it’s easy to get over the field on him in GPPs.

If you need some more tips on how to use the Post-Contest Simulator to improve your lineup study process, Steve Buzzard has a great guide here on how to maximize your lessons learned from the Sims! Check it out HERE.


MLB DFS Contrarian Stack

Dodgers-Pirates: Dodgers

Stokastic’s Top Stack Projection
DraftKings: 6.8%
Ownership Projection
DraftKings: 2.5%

In what sets up as one of the best matchups of the MLB season, the Dodgers match up with uber prospect Paul Skenes in Pittsburgh this evening. It’s not often we see the best offense in baseball take on the game’s top pitching prospect, and that’s exactly the scenario we have tonight. Skenes has undoubtedly been phenomenal through four starts, and because of his strikeout upside, there’s a reasonable case to be made that he’s already one of the top pitchers in the entire DFS landscape. All that being said, he’s only made four career starts at the major league level and the Dodgers are falling through the cracks in a massive way on DraftKings.

Coming into tonight with a 2.45 ERA, 0.91 WHIP, 30 strikeouts and five walks through 22 innings, Skenes has been as good as advertised for a Pirates team that desperately needed to strike gold. With a 35.7% strikeout rate, Skenes is in play on every slate he’s on until further notice, and tonight is no exception. The field knows this already, however, as he’s projected to be the third-highest-owned pitcher on the slate. While he has massive upside every time he toes the rubber, Skenes has never in his life faced a lineup as potent as the one the Dodgers will be throwing at him tonight. Though it’s not extremely likely to work out, the Dodgers’ ceiling is always sky high, and we’ve yet to see what happens to Skenes when he gets into some trouble — a likely occurrence tonight.

Los Angeles currently projects to be the top stack 6.8% of the time this slate plays out, but only 2.5% of the field is expected to stack it.

Other Contrarian Stacks to Consider

Royals, Yankees, A’s, Angels


Stokastic runs over some of the best MLB DFS contrarian picks and stacks for daily fantasy baseball lineups like one...

Looking for a way to boost your MLB DFS success? Check out our MLB DFS Sims Tools! Our simulation tools have helped numerous pros and users win big in DraftKings and FanDuel DFS contests across several sports, and they can help you too! Don’t believe us? Read up on the Stokastic Hall of Fame and see for yourself.

Matt Belman graduated from Tulane University with a degree in Consumer Behavior. He has been playing and analyzing DFS full time since 2018. He has qualified for the 2023 DraftKings NBA World Championship (5x), the 2023 DraftKings MLB World Championship (2x), the 2023 FanDuel MLB World Championship (2x) and the 2023 DraftKings NFL World Championship. You can find him on X at @fantasytipsmatt.

Related Articles

Premium Data

DFS Winners from the Stokastic Community

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox

Stokastic.com - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics

Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.