NBA DFS Leverage Picks & Optimizer Plays: Domantas Sabonis Gets the Pace Up He Needs (April 17)

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NBA DFS Projections & Optimizer Picks Tonight | April 17

High-End Tier

Joel Embiid ($10,600) has the highest projection on the slate by a wide margin against a Nets team that rebounds at the second worst rate in the league. Embiid is projected for 35% ownership, a 51% chance of booming and 36% chance of optimality, per the Stokastic Boom/Bust Tool.

Domantas Sabonis ($9,300) has a nice value score against a Warriors team that plays at the fastest pace in the league. Sabonis is projected for 33% ownership, a 40% chance of booming and 31% chance of optimality.


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Mid-Tier

Draymond Green ($6,100) has the second-best value score and best leverage score on the slate against the Kings, who rank 24th in the league in defensive rating. Green is projected for 50% ownership, a 27% chance of booming and 57% chance of optimality.

De’Aaron Fox ($8,500) is another great point-per-dollar play. Fox is projected for 43% ownership, a 35% chance of booming and 41% chance of optimality.

Sacramento’s Kevin Huerter ($5,000) is projected for 55% ownership, a 17% chance of booming and 57% chance of optimality.

Value Tier

Philadelphia’s De’Anthony Melton ($4,500) has one of the top leverage scores on the slate, as he is projected for just 13% ownership, a 1% chance of booming but a 19% chance of optimality.

Brooklyn’s Day’Ron Sharpe ($3,300) has a nice leverage score as well, as he is projected for 19% ownership, a 3% chance of booming and a 24% chance of optimality.

Author
Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.

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