Underdog Fantasy is the place to go for new customer specials, and they have a great one for Monday Night Football. Plus, we have a few other strong spots to target for tonight’s projected high-scoring matchup between the Cowboys and Chargers. If you haven’t gotten into Underdog yet, they have another great promo for new users: You can get your first deposit DOUBLED on Underdog up to $500! Now let’s dive into some plays for Underdog Fantasy’s NFL pick’em contest for Week 6.
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NFL Underdog Fantasy Pick’em Predictions | Week 6
Dak Prescott H/L 0.5 Total Yards (NEW CUSTOMER SPECIAL)
Prescott is all over the top of the board in Stokastic’s Underdog pick’em projections. That said, it makes the most sense to start with the weekly special Underdog is offering all season and build entries around Prescott to exceed 0.5 total yards.
Do note that this is for new customers only, so if you have not signed up for Underdog Fantasy, tonight is a great time to get in on the action. Prescott will definitely exceed 0.5 total yards, and there are myriad ways to stack up Prescott picks on Underdog — which we will cover below.
If you’re not a new customer and are looking for a Prescott play on his yards, the lower on his passing yards (255.5) is getting a 52% win expectancy. Prescott is projecting for 248.5 yards passing.
Looking for other apps like Underdog? Check out some of the other top pick’em options like PrizePicks and Sleeper Fantasy. Act fast: They are both offering some sweet deposit matches to new users who sign up!
Dak Prescott H/L 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
This is essentially a combination of a regression play and a game script play. Despite the Cowboys putting up points at a tremendous rate (sixth most in the NFL), they have largely not come from Prescott passing; he has only five touchdowns through the air in five games and only one-multi-score outing.
However, Stokastic is expecting him to return to some semblance of his prior form tonight. For one, Prescott had at least two touchdowns passing in eight of his 12 games last year and 11 of 16 the year before. He is averaging 1.68 touchdowns per game for his career, so as the sample of the season grows, he should start racking up multiple scores a game. On top of that, the total for Monday Night Football is between 50 and 51 points, so Vegas is expecting a lot of scoring, and the spread and moneyline are both close. This game should be high flying and competitive, which is the ideal environment to back some passing plays.
For the record, the Chargers are fifth in the league in points and third in yards — and their pass defense is near the bottom in both categories as well. This game screams shootout, and Prescott finding paydirt through the air is the likeliest beneficiary (even if his passing yards play is leaning under). He projects for 1.8 touchdowns and a 53% expected win rate for higher than 1.5.
Best NFL Underdog Fantasy Play: Dak Prescott Higher Than 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
Joshua Palmer H/L 3.5 Receptions
Let’s just keep riding the game narrative that this game will be a points- and pass-heavy one — at least from the Los Angeles side. Stokastic is projecting Justin Herbert for 25.6 completions on 37.9 attempts passing, and with Mike Williams out for the year, the receiving room is wide open. Keenan Allen is putting up numbers in buckets, but Palmer is seeing some significant volume himself. For the moment, barring a Quentin Johnston breakout, Palmer is the clear Chargers WR2.
He has seen at least five targets in three straight games and seven-plus in the last two. And while only one game has resulted in four-plus receptions, the projected shootout for tonight lends credence to Palmer at a minimum seeing higher volume. And last week’s three catches on eight targets could simply be an outlier in terms of the low efficiency; realistically, Palmer should catch around five passes when he sees that many targets (based on his career catch rate).
In kind, Palmer is projecting for seven targets and 4.5 receptions tonight, which is leading to a 56% expected win rate for higher than 3.5.
Best NFL Underdog Fantasy Play: Joshua Palmer Higher Than 3.5 Receptions
Editor note: Looking for the best DFS contest simulator? We have you covered.
