It’s been a fun few weeks of killer showdown slates, but alas, it’s time to bring the clunkers back. The Patriots are miserable and going nowhere, and the once-encouraging Broncos have hit a bit of a snag themselves. So when the game itself is not that exciting, we need some Sleeper Fantasy pick’em action to boost the excitement — and tonight they are throwing us a bone with a great pick on sale: Russell Wilson higher/lower than 0.5 passing yards!
If you have only played Sleeper Fantasy’s season-long fantasy leagues, their pick’em contests are some of the toughest but also most rewarding in terms of real cash. All you have to do is guess if a player will go for higher or lower than a projection Sleeper sets, with each pick getting its own payout multiplier. The more picks you hit, the bigger the cash prize, with the chance to get up to 100x your investment! And now we have a sure thing like this Wilson free square, so let’s get into it and build a Sleeper entry.
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Sleeper Fantasy NFL Picks & Predictions | Week 16 SNF
Russell Wilson M/L 0.5 Passing Yards
Wilson’s more/less for non-new Sleeper customers is just 202.5, but given the game total of only 35.5 and Wilson’s modest Stokastic projection of 213.5 yards passing, that may be harder to get to than it looks. Luckily, new Sleeper users don’t have to think too hard about game script, passing volume, anything like that — Wilson needs to only throw for 1 lone yard to hit the more.
It’s really that easy … well, almost. Sleeper pick’em entries need at least two picks to be submittable, so we will need to grab a second option to fully take advantage of the sale. This second pick also has to come from the Patriots since we can’t combine the Wilson free square with another Bronco.
With that in mind, let’s turn to Stokastic’s Pick’em Pro to find a good option to pair with Wilson. Right now, the highest-EV option from New England is Demario Douglas less than 4.5 receptions. This play has only a 51% win expectancy according to Stokastic projections, but the big kicker here is the 1.98x multiplier on Sleeper. That is about as good a multiplier as one can get on a play with a better-than-50% chance of winning, which is making Douglas less than 4.5 receptions +EV by 1%. And there it is — a winnable Sleeper entry!
If you want to boost your payout potential even more, keep adding picks! You will get better acquainted with Sleeper’s payout structure and strategy for building +EV plays as you get more involved, and if you’re looking for more Sleeper promos, check out Stokastic’s breakdown of everything they offer here!
