There is a nine-game evening slate for baseball betting picks tonight. According to the Awesemo expert MLB Power Rankings and Sports Betting Model, there are plenty of good Las Vegas betting odds and MLB lines to target on tonight’s slate. Here are three of the best MLB bets today using Awesemo’s expert MLB picks tool.
Best MLB Bets Today: Vegas Betting Odds & Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+125, BetMGM)
The Phillies were just swept out in the desert last week, so their motivation will be high. Philadelphia will send right-hander Zach Eflin to the mound for the first time in over a month. Eflin should have a cap of five innings before handing it off to the bullpen.
Diamondbacks right-hander Zac Gallen has had a rough season, going 1-7 with a 4.59 ERA. Tonight’s matchup against the Phillies presents a difficult challenge considering this is one of the better offensive parks in all of baseball. Gallen was able to neutralize a weak Rockies offense in his last start, but he has struggled when the opposition steps up.
Both teams saw an increase in their respective team totals (Arizona +0.3, Philadelphia +0.2), but the Phillies are the ones with the upper hand in this matchup. Eflin has shown to be an effective pitcher, and his team will need a big performance in a big spot like this. The Phillies really need a sweep over the lowly Diamondbacks this weekend, so look for them to start of the series with a bang.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres – Over 7.5 Runs (-110, DraftKings, PointsBet, William Hill)
The two National League West rivals do battle for the last time this week. Tonight’s pitching matchup features two of the best starting pitchers in the game: Max Scherzer and Yu Darvish. While the under of 7.5 runs may set the stage for a pitchers’ duel, that is not how Awesemo’s betting model sees it. In fact, going under 7.5 runs is one of the lowest expected return on investment plays of the entire slate.
Sure, there will probably be quite a few strikeouts in this matchup, but there should be plenty of home runs as well. Darvish has not been the best version of himself lately, allowing four or more runs in three of his last four starts. The Dodgers won the first two of the three-game series, so expect the Padres to come back with authority against Scherzer, who has been susceptible to home runs. This is a team that has lost 11 of its last 13 games, and now they are falling out of the playoff picture.
New York Yankees at Oakland Athletics – Under 8.5 Runs (-105, BetMGM, DraftKings, PointsBet, William Hill)
Two impressive right-handers take the mound tonight, with Jameson Taillon going for the Yankees and James Kaprielian for the A’s. Taillon has been particularly solid since the warmer weather came around, going 5-0 with a 2.01 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in nine starts since the beginning of July. Kaprielian has been an elite pitcher at home, going 5-2 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in seven starts.
Each team’s last three games have produced single-digit game totals. It should be another low-scoring atmosphere, with two underrated starting pitchers leading the way. This under is one of the best MLB bets today, according to the Awesemo expert MLB betting picks model.
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