After last night’s struggles, we are moving on to baseball betting picks tonight with a massive 14-game slate. With the help of Awesemo’s expert MLB player prop betting tool, below are three of the top MLB picks and Vegas odds for tonight’s games.
Best MLB Bets Today: Player Prop Odds & Betting Picks
Erick Fedde Over 4.5 Strikeouts (+115, Sugar House)
This one is a no-brainer bet, as the Marlins have abandoned any sense of propriety about striking out since the trade deadline. They have only a single player, Miguel Rojas, striking out less than 20% on the season. Erick Fedde is by no means a strikeout artist, but he does not have to be in this spot. His 21% strikeout rate should be plenty to chalk up the strikeouts needed in a pitcher’s park tonight. Lock this one in at plus odds with confidence.
Corbin Burnes Over 8.5 Strikeouts (+120, Sugar House)
In this game arguably the best strikeout pitcher in the league is going up against a good offense, albeit one that swings a misses a bit too much. Taking on the Reds is no picnic, but Corbin Burnes has been dominant this season. His 35% strikeout rate and 2% barrels allowed are tops in the league for starting pitching. The Reds lineup also has only one batter striking out less than 20% of the time, and even though nine strikeouts seem like a lot, Awesemo’s model projects Burnes will achieve this feat two-thirds of the time. That makes this another lock-and-load bet.
Jared Walsh to Hit a Home Run (+450, BetMGM)
Jared Walsh has been a bright spot in another lost season for the Angels. Walsh has a 90 mph average exit velocity and a superb 12% barrel rate. His launch angle could use improvement, and that is the only thing stopping him from becoming one of the best power threats in the league. Tonight he takes on Spenser Watkins, who has allowed an xSLG of .485 and 10% barrels in a very hitter-friendly park in Baltimore.
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