THE BEST NBA BETTING PICKS TODAY From Awesemo Data Scientists | Saturday 3/5/22

While the NBA has a short stack of games on the main docket tonight, there are still two contests that stand out. The Kings and Mavericks tip things off in Dallas at 5 p.m. (ET), although the most intriguing game is the 76ers at the Heat as both teams are playing exceptionally well. The Warriors at the Lakers will likely draw a lot of interest even though both squads are scuffling as it is in primetime on ABC and features Stephen Curry against LeBron James.  

This daily NBA article will examine the best betting picks, and NBA player prop bets today. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks offer the best prices for these prop bets. The following are the best bets for tonight’s slate.

Best NBA Bets Today: Player Props & Expert Betting Picks

Finding the most profitable NBA picks and NBA player prop bets has never been easier. The newly updated OddsShopper is like the Amazon of sports betting. Filter, sort the page, and find the best bets.

Warriors versus Lakers Over 227.6 Points

Golden State is definitely the better team and should win the game, with Awesemo giving the Warriors a 66% of picking up the win. However, going with the over is better as both teams enter the contest in poor form. The point total has increased by 1.5 points since the morning line.

Golden State has lost three straight and seven of nine overall. During the Warriors slide, the most troubling thing has been their performance on the defensive end. Earlier in the year, the Warriors were considered far and away from the top defensive team in the league. While they may still hold that title as the best defensive team, both the Suns and Celtics each have a case. Over the last 10 games, Golden State is allowing nearly 113 points a game on 47.6% shooting from the field and 37.4% from beyond the arc over the previous 10 games. The Warriors have given up 120 to their opponents in each of their last two outings.

Meanwhile, Los Angeles is winless in four post-All-Star break games, and they are just 6-15 since Jan. 8. Defense continues to be a huge issue for the Lakers as they have permitted their opponents to tally 115 points a game on 48.9% shooting from the field and 37.5% from long-distance over the last 10 games. Furthermore, the teams have combined for 230 points in each of their first two meetings this year; both games resulted in wins for the Warriors.

Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers Under 233.5 Points

This feels like a kind of a no-brainer, and the point total increased by 0.5 since the morning line. However, Awesemo projections has the game’s point total to be under 232.

Portland continues to be depleted by injuries, and the Trail Blazers have struggled on the offensive end since the all-star break having yet to break the century mark. Over the last three games, the Blazers are averaging just 92.3 points as they are shooting 38.3% from the field and 25.5% from beyond the arc. They rank in the bottom third of the league in scoring on the road for the season. While Minnesota is an outstanding offensive club, they are not the most efficient team in the league. The average score for a game at the Target Center this year is 226 points, increasing to 231 since Jan. 1. Furthermore, the teams have not put up more than 227 combined points in each of the first two meetings. OddsShopper gives the under a 54% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 3%.

Hornets Moneyline (-175) Over Spurs

This game has all the makings for a high-scoring, entertaining affair. Charlotte is not in great form, but it has won three of its last five games and is 19-9 against teams with a sub. 500 record. Plus, the Hornets are relatively healthy and are at home, where they have been decent this year. Terry Rozier has really taken off offensively since New Year’s, while Miles Bridges, LaMelo Ball, and Montrezl Harrell have played well lately.

Meanwhile, the Spurs have stubbed their toe the last three games. San Antonio has played better on the road lately; however, it is not a great road team. OddsShopper gives the Hornets a 64% chance of winning the game with an expected ROI of 1%.


The Latest Sports Betting Content from Stokastic Odds


Tobias Harris Over 16.5 Points

Harris has not shot the ball well since the All-Star break. He averages just 11.8 points on 38.6% shooting from the field and 31.5% accuracy from the arc while seeing his usage rate drop to 18%. However, Harris should be much more involved in the offense tonight with James Harden (hamstring) out. This season, Harris has torched the Heat and has played decently well in the second leg of back-to-backs. He averages 23.5 points, 6.5 boards and 3.5 assists while shooting 58.1% from the field and 60% from long distance in two games against Miami. Harris is projected for 18.60 points. OddsShopper gives the over a 62% chance of hitting with an expected ROI of 19%.

Other Top Bets & NBA Picks Today

  • Grizzlies vs. Magic Under 229.5 Points
  • Jaren Jackson Under 8.5 Rebounds

Thanks for reading to the end of this article! If you appreciate this free content and want to see more of it every day, you can help us out by sharing this article on social media!

Check out Stokastic's Best Bets home page for more sports betting picks and predictions.

DFS Winners from the Stokastic Community

Subscribe to the Stokastic newsletter

DFS advice, exciting promos, and the best bets straight to your inbox

Stokastic.com - Daily Fantasy Sports and Sports Betting Data, Tools, & Analytics

Please play responsibly. Only customers 21 and over are permitted to play. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER.