NASCAR PrizePicks & Daytona 500 Fantasy Driver Props | Sunday 2/20/22

The 2022 NASCAR season kicks off this weekend at it’s usual destination in Florida for the Daytona 500 at Daytona International Speedway. Unlike most sports, NASCAR starts its season with its marquee event, as being a Daytona 500 champion is something held in high regards. The racing here is also a favorite amongst most, as they end up in tight packs side by side at high speeds, which typically leads to massive wrecks throughout the field. With that being said, the volatility here is extremely high, but there is still ways to gain an edge. Let’s take a look at some of the best NASCAR PrizePicks, my favorite fantasy driver props and an overall look at the DFS landscape this weekend.

Be sure to check out all of the Awesemo NASCAR DFS advice leading up to Sunday’s Daytona 500. Especially the Best Fantasy NASCAR Picks for GPPs & Tournaments, and a full breakdown of the top NASCAR picks for the DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest.

Daytona 500 NASCAR PrizePicks & Driver Props

Daytona is a highly volatile track that can produce mass carnage, so when you see good drivers with extremely low props on the PrizePicks board, that’s why. This is very important to remember this weekend, as some of these low props can be quite enticing.

Top 5 Driver Props

William Byron OVER 35.5 Fantasy Points – Byron has had some pretty bad luck at superspeedways in the past, but he’s also had his fair share of success at them too. When he’s not wrecking out, he has three top four finishes the past couple of years at plate tracks. His prop is seemingly pretty low for a driver with this kind of upside, as he only needs a top 16 finish to accomplish this. If he stays clean it would be shocking to see him not hit this.

Aric Almirola OVER 47.5 Fantasy Points – Almirola has one of the highest over under props on the entire slate, but it’s for very good reason. AA finds himself starting deep in the pack on Sunday, which offers him immense upside to accrue fantasy points. For this prop to hit, not even adding in potential dominator points, he needs to finish 16th or better. This is something he is certainly capable of doing, as he has finished inside the top 15 in 50% of his past 12 plate races.

Brad Keselowski UNDER 20.5 Laps Led – With Keselowski on a new team this year and leaving Team Penske, a team that typically can stay up front and dominate, I believe his chances for being a main lap leader have diminished a bit. It’s still possible and he was certainly strong in the first duel race, but he has only averaged roughly five laps led per race the past 12 plate races. NASCAR also took a second look at the RFK cars and there’s potential they lost a slight advantage they could have had during the duel races.


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Chase Elliott OVER 27.5 Fantasy Points – While starting close to the front does have it’s risks, Elliott still can lose a handful of spots and still hit the over on this prop. Most of the Hendrick Motorsports drivers have been magnets to carnage in recent years, but Chase has actually been pretty good about grabbing good finishes in recent years. His average finish of 13th here, puts him squarely in position to hit his mark here and there is certainly race winning upside for him. He has one of the best average running positions and driver rating in the field at Daytona. It’s just a matter of avoiding the big one.

Kyle Larson UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points – At any other normal track this prop is free money on the over, but like I said, Daytona presents us a whole different playing field. And with Larson starting on the pole, he has more downside than any other driver. He can realistically earn a score of nearly negative 40 points in this race if he happened to wreck out early. He finished 37th, 40th, 10th, and 20th last year. He also has an average finish out side the top 20 the past 10 races at superspeedways. He only needs to finish outside the top 13 for this prop to hit, which can be aided by being involved in a potential wreck. Pole sitters at Daytona have one of the worst average finishes in the field at 23rd.

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Author
Chris Pennell is a dog lover, video game nerd, and the self proclaimed leader of the Ryan Blaney and Michael Brantley fan club.

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