In NBA DFS and daily fantasy basketball as a whole, it is not as simple as rostering who we think the best play is. We have to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, we have our own odds to help us navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting according to our tool.
*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.
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DraftKings + FanDuel Boom/Bust Projections | Jan. 31
NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom Candidates
Kevin Durant vs. Wizards: $10,100/$10,600
39.2% DraftKings Boom/41.1% FanDuel Boom
Heading to play in Washington D.C., which is where Kevin Durant grew up, he will also be facing off against a bad Wizards team. On top of that, James Harden has already been ruled out, which means it’s back to Durant and Kyrie Irving doing everything for this offense. It should result in a nice fantasy day for both players. While the Russell Westbrook-Durant feud appears to be over on the outside, I’m sure there’s a little extra motivation from both today. Given the increased usage and overall increase in motivating factors, Durant appears to be one of the best plays of the day.
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Domantas Sabonis vs. 76ers: $9,100/$9,100
25.0% DraftKings Boom/31.6% FanDuel Boom
Domantas Sabonis has seen his price drop, which is all we need to know for why he has such high boom potential today. Sabonis is a do-it-all player for this Pacers team, being only four assists from back-to-back triple-doubles last time out. Because of this, he is matchup-proof, has an extremely high floor and also has zero ceiling. In a pace-up spots against the fifth-fastest team in the Sixers, Sabonis will have an increased chance of stats. This game has the second-highest total and closest spread of the slate, so expect Sabonis to see plenty of floor time in this matchup.
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Aaron Gordon vs. Raptors: $7,000/$5,500
21.8% DraftKings Boom/58.8% FanDuel Boom
Aaron Gordon has been a bust his past two outings, which has led to his price dropping. While he may be at risk of putting up a third stinker on DraftKings, his upside is high and his price on FanDuel is too good to ignore. It is a positive matchup for Gordon, and his efficiency shooting the ball should be at least better than his last two games (combined 5-22). Orlando also has the advantage in rebounding rate over Toronto, meaning Gordon has the chance to get back to filling up the stat sheet.
NBA DFS Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates
Lou Williams vs. Knicks: $4,600/$5,200
88.3% DraftKings Bust/90.7% FanDuel Bust
There is a lot to dislike about Lou Williams this season, but especially today. Paul George and Kawhi Leonard made their returns last game, which alone has typically made Williams useless this season. On top of that, the matchup is terrible. The New York Knicks have the slowest pace in the league, and they are also playing decent defense. The ceiling seems very low for Williams today.
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