With the first round of NBA playoff action wrapping up, tonight still provides an exciting two-game card. With so much on the line, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Anthony Davis player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.
Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.
Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Friday’s playoff games.
Today’s Top NBA Player Props | April 28 Playoff Games
Rui Hachimura Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers
The Los Angeles Lakers have gotten a ton of run out of Rui Hachimura, one of their role players. But as this series has progressed, Hachimura has slid further and further back as a priority. He played a series-low 21 minutes in Game 5 after shooting a dismal 1-for-3 from the perimeter.
NBA Bet Pro has Hachimura struggling from beyond the arc tonight. The model projects him for only 0.9 3-pointers this evening. Hachimura has averaged 2.2 3-pointers per game this series but on only 3.8 attempts per game, good for an unsustainable conversion rate of 58%.
Per NBA Bet Pro, Hachimura has a 74% chance of staying under this number. That gives us quite a bit of edge relative to the implied odds available at BetRivers (68.8%). While playing a line of -220 may not make you a ton of money, this play is still mispriced. Readers eager to find more mispriced props should try a one-week trial of NBA Bet Pro!
Best NBA Player Prop: Rui Hachimura Under 1.5 3-Pointers -220 via BetRivers
Anthony Davis Prop O/U 0.5 3-Pointers
We’ll stick with tonight’s battle between the Los Angeles Lakers and Memphis Grizzlies for the final play of the evening. Anthony Davis hasn’t done much from beyond the arc this series, and NBA Bet Pro doesn’t expect that to change this evening.
Davis is averaging 0.6 3-pointers per game on 1.8 attempts this series, good for a conversion rate of 33.3%. Those are respectable numbers for Davis, but it’s fair to project him for a limited showing from deep. NBA Bet Pro has him recording only 0.3 3-pointers tonight, well below his series average.
The under has an expected win rate of 69%, per NBA Bet Pro. That gives us a solid amount of edge relative to the implied odds available at BetMGM (65.5%). Readers new to BetMGM can even get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance, so minimize your risk by signing up there!
Best NBA Player Prop: Anthony Davis Under 0.5 3-Pointers -190 at BetMGM
