A loaded four-game NBA playoff card awaits bettors tonight. Three series can end this evening, although the books don’t expect any to come to an early ending. But with so much on the line tonight, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Jimmy Butler player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.
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Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Wednesday’s playoff games.
Today’s Top NBA Player Props | April 26 Playoff Games
Jimmy Butler Prop O/U 1.5 3-Pointers
The Miami Heat got a massive 56-point showing out of Jimmy Butler in Game 4. The veteran forward racked up an impressive 3 3-pointers in the win, just one game after shooting 4-for-4 from beyond the arc in Game 3, and is now averaging 2.3 3-pointers per game in this series.
Despite Butler’s solid play from the perimeter, NBA Bet Pro recommends fading him tonight. Butler averaged only 0.6 3-pointers per game in the regular season, and NBA Bet Pro projects him for 0.7 3-pointers tonight.
Butler’s projection gives the under an expected win rate of 67%. That slots in well above the implied odds available at BetMGM (60.7%), making this the top play on the slate. But two other bets have comparable EV to this one, and readers eager to find more mispriced props should try a one-week trial of NBA Bet Pro!
Best NBA Player Prop: Jimmy Butler Under 1.5 3-Pointers at BetMGM
Dennis Schroder Prop O/U 1.5 Rebounds
The Los Angeles Lakers have a chance to put the Memphis Grizzlies to bed tonight. But with this series returning to Memphis, the sportsbooks don’t expect L.A. to come away as the winner — at least not in Game 5.
Still, Dennis Schroder is a viable target on the betting markets. The total for his rebounding prop has cratered to 1.5 with him averaging only 0.8 rebounds per game in the playoffs. However, Schroder averaged 2.5 rebounds per game in the regular season.
The over has an expected win rate of 52%, per NBA Bet Pro. That gives us a solid amount of edge relative to the implied odds available at BetMGM (48.8%). Readers new to BetMGM can even get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance, so minimize your risk by signing up there!
Best NBA Player Prop: Dennis Schroder Over 1.5 Rebounds +105 at BetMGM
