NBA DFS Projections Today: Killian Hayes Gets His Day (February 27)

There is some great value for a four-game, but things can change in a hurry, so be sure to pay attention to the news and check out the Stokastic Deeper Dive and Live Before Lock shows to hear great analysis of how the news affects the slate. And as always, Stokastic’s NBA DFS projections and Boom/Bust Tool are great resources to help make DraftKings lineups that project well and offer some leverage points on the field.

Your first NBA bet is on Caesars up to $1,250

The legal gambling age is 21+ and in most states. Gambling Problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER

NBA DFS Picks Leverage & Optimizer Plays | Feb. 27

High-End Tier

Joel Embiid ($11,000) has the highest projection on the slate despite a tough matchup with the Heat tonight. Embiid is projected for 37% ownership, a 23% chance of booming and 32% chance of being optimal.

LaMelo Ball ($10,300) projects less than 1 fantasy point worse than Embiid at a slight discount and is projected to be pretty chalky against the Pistons. Ball is projected for 51% ownership, a 30% chance of booming and 45% chance of being optimal.

Jayson Tatum ($10,200) has the best leverage score on the high end. The Celtics will be without Jaylen Brown against the Knicks tonight, which gives Tatum just a slight boost in usage and fantasy production. Tatum is projected for 42% ownership, a 29% chance of booming and 50% chance of being optimal.

Latest NBA DFS Content

Mid-Tier

Killian Hayes ($4,600) is one of several Pistons who are among the best point-per-dollar plays on the slate, as the team will be without Bojan Bogdanovic, Jaden Ivey, Jalen Duren, and Cade Cunningham. Hayes is projected for 53% ownership, a 51% chance of booming and 48% chance of being optimal.

Isaiah Stewart ($5,100) will be among the best point-per-dollar plays if he is active, but he is currently questionable. Marvin Bagley ($4,500) already looks good with Stewart presumed in, but he’ll look even better if Stewart is ruled out.

Derrick White ($5,500), Marcus Smart ($5,500), Robert Williams ($5,100), and Malcolm Brogdon ($5,700) all project pretty well with Brown out, and all have slightly positive leverage scores at reasonable ownership.

Value Tier

Alec Burks ($3,500) is the best point-per-dollar play on the entire slate. He is projected for 68% ownership, a 71% chance of booming and 67% chance of being optimal. James Wiseman ($3,700), Hamidou Diallo ($3,600) and Isaiah Livers ($3,200) all join Burks among the top point-per-dollar plays of the slate. The question to ask is, “How many Pistons is too many?”

Guillermo Hernangomez ($3,600) has a nice leverage score. Hernangomez is projected f0r 11% ownership, a 23% chance of booming and 15% chance of being optimal.

Author

Neil Orfield

Neil Orfield has been playing DFS regularly since 2013, but his success really started taking off in 2019 when he had a six figure payday with a hand built NFL lineup. The next day, he signed up for a Stokastic+ subscription with FantasyCruncher. Since then he has won an NFL milly and added six figure wins in XFL, MLB, and NBA. He has recently excelled at NFL Showdown, with many five- and six-figure wins since 2021.