Best NBA Player Props: Fade Marcus Smart on the Glass? (February 27)

Now that the NBA is back, it’s time to lock in as much value as we can before the playoffs. We have a relatively small four-game card on tap today, but with the books offering props on tons of players, even the best bettors may let the sharpest NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Marcus Smart player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s new NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Monday.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | Feb. 27

Marcus Smart Prop O/U 3.5 Rebounds

The Boston Celtics will face the slow-paced New York Knicks tonight, and they won’t have Jaylen Brown for the contest. The books still have Boston as a road favorite, but bettors shouldn’t expect much for Smart this evening — at least not on the glass.

NBA Bet Pro has Smart projected for 3.4 rebounds, slightly below this number. However, with the under priced at +125, this play’s expected hit rate (48%) sits well above its implied odds (44.4%). Bettors should head to DraftKings Sportsbook for the best price on the market! To find even more NBA player props that the books have mispriced, subscribe to NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Marcus Smart Under 3.5 Rebounds (+125) at DraftKings

De’Anthony Melton Prop O/U 2.5 Rebounds

After their tough loss to the Boston Celtics, the Philadelphia 76ers will look to turn things around with a game against the Miami Heat. Guard De’Anthony Melton, who is averaging 4.1 rebounds per game, is projected to help them — at least in the rebounding department.

Melton should come down with 3.4 boards tonight, per NBA Bet Pro. That gives this play an expected win rate of 57% — far better than the implied odds (54.5%) available at BetMGM. Readers who are new to BetMGM can get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance from the book!

Best NBA Player Prop: De’Anthony Melton Over 2.5 Rebounds (-120) at BetMGM

Derrick White Prop O/U 3.5 Assists

With Jaylen Brown sidelined, Derrick White should enter Boston’s starting lineup on Monday night. That may help him secure a few extra assists. White is averaging 3.3 assists per game this year, just slightly under this number, but has often stepped up when his teammates get sidelined.

White should dish out 4.7 assists tonight. The expected win rate for this bet (67%) slots in far solidly above the implied odds available at Caesars Sportsbook (59.1%). Bettors should head there to secure one of the best NBA player props on the board this evening. New users can get their first bet on Caesars for up to $1,250!

Best NBA Player Prop: Derrick White Over 3.5 Assists (-140) at Caesars

Author
Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.

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