NBA Player Props NHA: Jaden Ivey King of Thin Pistons Backcourt (February 12)

With NBA not wanting to go against the Super Bowl, today’s slate is short and starting early — one game tips at 2 p.m. ET and one other at 3 p.m. There is little time to dwell on the slate, so today’s No House Advantage Vs. The House picks will be quick hitters that identify the five best value spots in NBA Bet Pro‘s projections on Sunday, Feb. 12. And if you still haven’t signed up for NBA Bet Pro, you can get in now with a seven-day free trial! Check it out and see how Stokastic’s NBA player props tool can help you build your ROI.

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NBA No House Advantage – Best NBA Player Props

5. Desmond Bane Over 2.5 3-Pointers

Bane’s baseline much of the season has been three 3-pointers. He has hit at least that many in 60.6% of games and is averaging 3.1 per game, plus he has only fallen short of this line once in the last four games. He is also shooting 48.5% from deep over the last five. Stokastic is projecting that to continue today, giving him 2.9 3’s in 32.5 minutes for a 55% expected win rate.

4. Jayson Tatum Over 32.5 Points

Tatum is comfortably the top-projected scorer of the slate, going for 34.1 points on Stokastic, 7.5 points higher than second-place Ja Morant. With no Jaylen Brown, Tatum is virtually alone among Boston’s scoring options. He dropped 41 in 37 minutes last game with Brown out. Today he projects for 37 minutes again, and NBA Bet Pro is giving this over a 56% chance of hitting.

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3. Killian Hayes Under 12.5 Points

The real beneficiary of Detroit’s thin backcourt will come up later. Scoring is probably never going to be a spot to go in on Hayes, as he is simply too inefficient a shooter for a player whose usage is modest at best. He is averaging less than 10 points a game on 37.9% from the field and an abysmal 45.5% true shooting. Even if the volume increases, Hayes’ touch is nowhere near good enough to count on 13 points, a number he has hit in just 32.1% of games this season.

2. Ja Morant Under 6.5 Rebounds

This over is getting plus money at FanDuel at the moment, so clearly the market is leaning heavily under here. Morant’s rebound numbers are solid for an undersized guard — 5.9 a game. That said, he has only hit this over in 41.3% of games this season, and the host Celtics have some of the better perimeter rebounders in the league. NBA Bet Pro is projecting Morant to just miss this line (6.2 projected rebounds) and gives the under a 57% win expectancy.

1. Jaden Ivey Over 14.5 Points

The Pistons are overloaded with big men, but they are still pretty thin in the backcourt after the trade deadline. Ivey and Hayes are the only guards projecting for 30-plus minutes today, and Hayes far from a reliable scoring bet at this point in his career. Ivey, on the other hand, has scored at least 15 points in 31 of 53 games this year (58.5%). Stokastic gives Ivey’s scoring over a slate-high 60% win rate as he takes on the Raptors.

Author

Sam Smith

Sam Smith is a writer and editor with Stokastic and OddsShopper. He has been immersed in the world of professional sports data since 2015, while also writing extensively on the NFL for a multitude of blogs and websites. With Stokastic, Sam looks to blend his sports and editorial expertise with Stokastic's data to bring you the best fantasy information possible.