DraftKings NBA DFS Top 5 Plays: High-Stakes Pace-Up Spot for Bam Adebayo (April 11)

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Top 5 DraftKings NBA DFS Picks Today

5. Bam Adebayo, Miami Heat

Adebayo is eligible a center only and priced at $7,700. With a projected score of 43 points and a goal of 40, he is in the optimal lineup 39% of the time. His projected minutes of play are 36, but he may even play more. Adebayo has a high rate of 1.2 fantasy points per minute, and projects for 22 points on 25% usage, 10 boards, three assists and two stocks. Additionally, the Heat are playing against Atlanta in a pace-up spot, and they are the slight favorites. All of these factors make Adebayo a strong contender for DraftKings NBA DFS.


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4. Rui Hachimura, Los Angeles Lakers

Hachimura is a budget-friendly DraftKings NBA DFS pick, with limited options on the slate. He is projected to score 19 points, with a goal of 22, and he has a 39% chance of being in the optimal lineup. Although the minutes are limited at 22, he still manages to produce 0.85 fantasy points per minute and an 18% usage rate, which translates to 10 points, five rebounds, an assist and a possible stock. The game against Minnesota is a pace-up spot, and with two key rotation pieces missing, Hachimura may have the opportunity to play more minutes. While there are doubts about his reliability, his $4,100 price tag and eligibility as a power forward create flexibility to get to the top.

3. Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota Timberwolves

Towns is projected for 49 points, with a goal of 45, and he is in the optimal lineup 45% of the time. Towns is a power forward and center and is projected to play 37 minutes, during which he is expected to score 25 points, grab 12 boards and provide four assists. He is projected to earn 1.33 fantasy points per minute and has a favorable matchup against the Lakers, where he is expected to play a key role in keeping the game competitive. The fact that he is a power forward is especially valuable, as it allows players to easily roster him and Adebayo together.

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2. Tyler Herro, Miami Heat

Herro is a solid DraftKings NBA DFS pick for several reasons. Priced at $6,800, he is projected for 39 points, with a goal of 36. He is likely to be in the optimal lineup 51% of the time, and with 37 minutes of projected playing time, Herro has a high rate of 1.05 fantasy points per minute. He projects for 23 points on 26% usage, six boards, four assists and possibly a stock. The Heat are playing against Atlanta, which is a great matchup, as Atlanta’s defense has not been performing well. Additionally, Herro’s position as a point guard and shooting guard provides great lineup flexibility.

1. Kyle Lowry, Miami Heat

Priced at $4,000, Lowry is projected for 22 points and a goal of 22, and he is in the optimal lineup 65% of the time. Despite uncertainty around his playing time, Lowry is a strong value play, even with just 22 minutes. His per-minute ratio is 0.85 fantasy points, and he has a usage rate of 16%. He projects for 9 points, 3.5 boards, almost four assists and a stock. With Lowry as a value pick, other top-tier players like Towns, Adebayo, Jimmy Butler or Anthony Edwards become affordable.

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Author
Josh is Contributor for Stokastic.com where he hosts video and writes content regularly across the primary sports of MLB, NBA, and NFL as well as contributing to the development of models and projections for soccer. He originally started producing projections & articles for Reddit's r/DFSports in 2014 where he built a loyal following that brought him to where he is today. Josh is most known for his elaborate Excel spreadsheets, which he shares in all of his video content. You can find him on Twitter or hanging out in Stokastic's Premium Chalkboard. You can contact Josh by emailing [email protected].

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