Best NBA Player Props & Expert Betting Picks

Sports betting is officially live in the state of Louisiana. Home fans within the state will have the opportunity to wager on their NBA team on the very first day as the New Orleans Pelicans are in action tonight against the Denver Nuggets. While betting on the game is one option, another terrific option for NBA betting is to explore the variety of prop bets available for tonight’s game. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best player props and bets is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props predictions for Friday night’s Nuggets vs. Pelicans matchup.

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Best NBA Player Prop Bets Tonight | Nuggets vs. Pelicans

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Nuggets – Pelicans prop bets below!

Will Barton Over 4.5 Rebounds: -118 (Louisiana Sportsbook Offers)

We kick off our NBA player props for tonight’s Nuggets vs. Pelicans matchup with an intriguing plus-money over pick. Nuggets veteran Will Barton went nuts on the glass in Denver’s last game on Wednesday. He finished with 10 rebounds in a win at Brooklyn and had a double-double thanks to also scoring 21 points. In his last three games played, Barton has finished with no fewer than five total rebounds. Thus, he has exceeded tonight’s NBA betting prop total of 4.5 boards in three straight contests.

Despite his strong efforts on the boards recently, OddsShopper is showing that the market is heavily juiced to the under on Barton’s rebounding prop for tonight. Bettors would have to lay nearly $1.50 on the under. However, it is the over that aligns with Barton’s recent form and his per-game average of 4.9 rebounds on the season. While Awesemo’s projection of 4.78 rebounds does not create a massive statistical edge, the ROI on this wager gets a huge bump thanks to favorable +116 odds. At that excellent price, this over prediction is given an 11% expected return on investment value.

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Monte Morris Under 4.5 Assists: -124 (Louisiana Sportsbook Offers)

Despite seeing nearly 30 minutes per game in the absence of Jamal Murray, Denver Nuggets guard Monte Morris has not made a huge impact as a distributor this season. While he has had his moments (see assist total of nine and seven in two recent games on January 19th and 23rd, respectively), Morris also has had nights where he provides little to no assist production whatsoever (see the zero total assists he sandwiched between the two aforementioned games on January 21st). Overall, Morris is averaging just 4.1 helpers per game on the season. This mark sits nearly half an assist below Friday’s NBA player props line of 4.5.

Despite the fact that OddsShopper shows some extra juice required to play this prop bet under, Awesemo’s projections are quite confident that it is the right side to pursue. Morris has only exceeded the NBA betting prop total in two of the Nuggets’ last eight games overall. A projection of 3.97 assists for tonight comes in below both the betting number and his per-game average. Thus, Awesemo gives the under a 66% win probability. While laying -124 odds may not seem appealing at first, note that this price is up to 26 cents better value than those at other Louisiana betting sportsbooks. At the preferred odds, this prediction is given an 18% expected ROI.

Aaron Gordon Under 14.5 Points: -118 (Louisiana Sportsbook Offers)

For those who may be new to sports betting in Louisiana, as a general rule of thumb, it is usually best to play the under on Aaron Gordon NBA player props. While he has carved out a sizeable role with the Nuggets out of necessity, he is just not a very good basketball player. Thus, seeing that tonight’s line of 14.5 points sits a hair above the 14.4 he has averaged this season, playing under sets up as a solid option. Gordon has notably scored in double figures in seven straight games coming into tonight. However, he has scored 13 or less in two of the last three.

One interesting correlation from Gordon’s recent performances over the last seven games can be drawn between his point totals and minutes played. When he exceeds his season average of 32.0 minutes, he has also topped the prop total. When he has played at or slightly under 32 minutes, he has come up short. Awesemo’s prediction of 13.09 points for Gordon tonight sits nearly a full point and a half under the NBA betting line. Assuming he does not see much more than his playing time average, bettors figure to be in good shape. OddsShopper lists the best Louisiana betting odds on this prop at -118. This price produces a 9% ROI based on Awesemo’s numbers.

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