3 MUST-BEST NBA Player Props Bets & Picks Today: Klay Thompson & Isaiah Hartenstein 3/3/22

Yet another fun seven-game NBA slate is on deck for Thursday evening. In many ways, it is hard to believe that less than six weeks remain until the end of the regular season. Nonetheless, we still have several nights of widespread NBA betting props action to enjoy. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Thursday night’s hoops action.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Klay Thompson Over 2.5 Assists (-118, FanDuel)

After missing each of the last two games with an illness, Klay Thompson announced that he will be back in the lineup for the Golden State Warriors on Thursday night. When it comes to the NBA player props market for Thompson’s total assists, bettors are bound to find some value on the over. Since making his long-awaited season debut, Thompson has distributed an average of three assists per game. He also had exceeded that mark in three of the five games prior to this recent two-game absence.

Tonight sees the Warriors take on the Dallas Mavericks in a rematch of a surprising home loss on Sunday. That game marked the first of the two that Thompson missed due to being sick. Although the Mavs boast a top-10 defensive efficiency ranking this season, Awesemo still believes that the statistical discrepancy makes it worth betting over 2.5 assists for Thompson. Currently, OddsShopper shows that the entire NBA betting market is juiced to the over. However, by targeting optimal -118 odds, one can still obtain up to 22 cents of value relative to other prices. Even with the extra juice required, Awesemo still gives this prediction a 15% expected ROI rating.


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Jakob Poeltl Under 9.5 Rebounds (+140, Caesars)

Our second NBA props prediction for Thursday evening comes with a substantial plus-money return. San Antonio Spurs center Jakob Poeltl enters the day averaging 9.2 rebounds per game on the season. Thanks to exceeding his typical playing time allotment in the last several games, Poeltl has been on a run of exceeding both his average and tonight’s NBA player props line of 9.5 boards. He has finished with double-digit rebounding totals in three straight games played and six of his last eight overall. However, the fact that almost an entire rebound is necessary to top the prop total makes the under an intriguing play for the right price.

Low and behold, OddsShopper shows a wide variance in prices for this NBA betting prop. While the entire market lists plus-money odds on Poeltl to stay under 9.5 boards, some sportsbooks offer a much better value than others. Making this wager at a +140 price offers a whole different outlook than doing so at +105. Awesemo’s projection for Poeltl tonight sits at 9.36 rebounds. Although this does not allow for a massive statistical edge, the ROI for this under wager sits at 30% thanks to the favorable pricing.

Isaiah Hartenstein Over 4.5 Rebounds (-130, DraftKings)

No matter how little playing time the Los Angeles Clippers afford Isaiah Hartenstein, he always seems to find a way to make an impact on the boards. In 22 minutes of action two days ago, he finished with eight rebounds. Perhaps even more impressive was the four boards that he amassed in all of 10 total minutes this past weekend. Hartenstein has been battling Ivica Zubac for minutes, with the latter holding an edge in the last two games. However, the last time that the Clippers faced tonight’s opponent, the crosstown rival Lakers, it was Hartenstein who played 28 minutes compared to 18 for Zubac.

While assuming the upper hand in the Clippers’ center rotation tonight would certainly benefit those betting over the NBA player props total of 4.5 rebounds, Hartenstein has proven capable of getting to that mark regardless. He has finished with at least four rebounds in each of the last nine games. Over that span, Hartenstein has played as little as six minutes! Once again, we find OddsShopper suggesting that the NBA betting market is juiced to the over here. Once again, having to lay a -130 price does not deter the ROI value of this prediction. Awesemo’s projections give Hartenstein a 72% probability to eclipse 4.5 boards with a projection of 6.01. Juice and all, the expected ROI is still a hefty 27%.

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