3 MUST-BEST NBA Player Props Bets & Picks Today: Tyrese Maxey & Jaxson Hayes 3/4/22

Well, we have reached the end of another work week! As per usual, there is plenty of NBA basketball on tonight’s schedule to help ring in the weekend. With nine total games on tap spanning throughout the evening, there will be ample opportunity for bettors to get down on various NBA betting picks and props today. You can easily enhance your NBA player props handicapping process further by including the redesigned OddsShopper as well as NBA betting tips today. Thanks to this tremendous tool, finding the best NBA player props bets today is as simple as three quick steps: Filter, sort, bet.

With help from OddsShopper, the following article highlights three must-bet NBA player props for Friday’s slate.

Best NBA Player Prop Bets & Expert Betting Picks Today

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users have to do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured prop bets below!

Tyrese Maxey Under 3.5 Assists (-138, FanDuel)

James Harden joining the Philadelphia 76ers certainly has not slowed down the scoring production of young Tyrese Maxey. With totals of 25, 21 and 28 points in the last three games, he continues to surprise many NBA betting analysts with his contributions to the team’s offense. Where Harden has impacted Maxey’s statistical outputs is in the assists column. Prior to Harden joining the Sixers, Maxey was the team’s primary point guard. Such is no longer the case and his totals have declined as a result. In Philly’s three games since the All-Star break, he has dished no more than three assists. Meanwhile, Harden has finished with double-digit assists twice and no fewer than nine over those three games.

If the past few games are any indication, Maxey figures to struggle to eclipse tonight’s NBA player props total of 3.5 assists. In addition to the changing roles and personnel on the 76ers roster, tonight’s game comes against a Cleveland Cavaliers team that sports a top-5 defensive efficiency ranking on the season. OddsShopper shows that the NBA props market is juiced heavily towards the under and rightfully so. However, bettors can still obtain a -138 price that lends up to 27 cents of value compared to other listings. Awesemo certainly views this as a must-bet prop for today. A projection of 2.46 assists yields a 76% win probability. Despite the extra juice, the expected ROI still sits at a hefty 31%.


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Isaiah Roby Over 11.5 Points (-118, FanDuel)

The rotation for the Oklahoma City Thunder has made little to no sense all season long. Tonight, OKC will be lucky to have much of a rotation at all because virtually everyone is ruled out for one reason or another. The same scenario was true two nights ago when the Thunder managed to upset Denver on the road. Big man Isaiah Roby was among the five players heavily relied upon in that contest, and he delivered. Over the course of 35 minutes, Roby piled up a massive stat line which included 26 points, seven boards, five assists and a pair of steals and blocks. 

With the Thunder lineup still decimated for tonight’s contest against the Minnesota Timberwolves, there is good reason to believe Roby will have ample opportunity once again. While he will be hard-pressed to shoot 4-5 from 3-point range again, Roby figures to have the playing time and shot attempts needed to finish comfortably in double figures once again. This leads to a pick of over 11.5 points for him tonight. OddsShopper comes in handy here as it shows the majority of the NBA player props market lists this total once full point higher at 12.5. Awesemo’s projections currently have Roby slated to score exactly 12.89 points. This translates to a win probability of 59% for the over on this NBA props prediction.

Jaxson Hayes Over 10.5 Points (-110, DraftKings)

The acquisition of C.J. McCollum appears to have ignited a fire for the New Orleans Pelicans. The team is suddenly clicking on all cylinders and even beating some of the top teams in the Western Conference. Another lineup adjustment that appears to have paid dividends is starting Jaxson Hayes at power forward. He has cashed in on his increased playing time recently. Hayes has scored in double figures and cleared the NBA player props line of 11.5 points in five of the last six games. The only time he did not was also the only game in which he saw fewer than 20 minutes of action. Despite only seeing 17 minutes that night, Hayes still finished with nine points.

The Pelicans will get another crack at a contender tonight when they host the Utah Jazz. While Utah has been synonymous with playing stingy defense in recent seasons, the Jazz have actually not been nearly as strong on that end of the floor in 2021-22. An average of 107.1 points allowed per 100 possessions still ranks among the top-10 in defensive efficiency, yet, it is not as high as Utah has been in past years. This certainly helps the outlook for taking Hayes to exceed 10.5 points amongst our NBA betting picks. OddsShopper lists varying amounts of juice on the over for this prop with preferred -110 odds offering a 20-cent advantage. One sportsbook even lists the line a full point higher at 11.5. With a projection for 12.05 points, Awesemo has assigned a 15% ROI value to this over prediction.

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