3 QUICK & EASY Nikola Jokic NBA Player Props & Nuggets vs. Pelicans Expert Betting Picks Tonight | 1/28/22

As Louisiana sports betting launches today, fans will have the opportunity to bet on an in-state NBA game right away. The New Orleans Pelicans are set to host the Denver Nuggets tonight in a Western Conference clash tonight. While Denver aims to maintain a three-game winning streak, the Pelicans will be trying to boost their home record above .500 for the season. For those who may be new to the venture, one of the most fun ways to approach NBA betting is to have action on the game’s biggest stars via prop bets. The revamped OddsShopper is the perfect resource to help find the best NBA player props and betting picks for tonight’s Nuggets – Pelicans matchup. Let’s take a look at Awesemo’s must-bet projections for reigning NBA MVP and Nuggets superstar, Nikola Jokic.

With help from OddsShopper, the following column aims to find optimal odds and discusses some positive ROI prop bets for Nikola Jokic in tonight’s matchup.

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Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks | Nikola Jokic

With OddsShopper, finding the best NBA betting player props is fast and simple. All users must do is filter the prop selections, sort the page and find the best pick to bet. The process is extremely quick and highly effective. Try out the tool for yourself tonight with the three featured Jokic props below.

Over 12.5 Rebounds: -110 (Louisiana Sportsbook Offers)

In addition to being about the only reliable offensive threat for the Nuggets on a nightly basis, Jokic continues to dominate opponents on the glass. He comes into Friday night’s matchup averaging a double-double and then some. The Joker has recorded a whopping 13.8 rebounds per game on the season to date. No wonder the NBA player props line is set over a dozen at 12.5. However, while Jokic has recorded double-digit rebounds in six of the last seven games, he has only exceeded this mark three times.

With OddsShopper showing standard -110 odds on the over, Awesemo is not hesitating to back that side on this prop bet for tonight. While the Pelicans are a top-five team in terms of rebounding rate this season, a large portion of that is due to center Jonas Valanciunas. The fact that he is questionable for tonight’s contest with an illness bodes well for Jokic’s chances of dominating the boards. Awesemo’s exact projection of 13.91 rebounds sits nearly 1.5 higher than the NBA betting line. At the preferred odds, this prediction is given a healthy ROI of 22%.


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Under 26.5 Points: +110 (Louisiana Sportsbook Offers)

Unlike the rebounding prop above, Awesemo’s projections are not as optimistic that Jokic will exceed his scoring total in tonight’s game. This sentiment actually runs contradictory to the NBA player props market, evidenced by the fact that OddsShopper lists plus-money odds available on the under for 26.5 total points. Jokic comes in averaging 26.2 points per game on the season, but he has only gone over the betting line in two of the last four games.

Perhaps part of Awesemo’s projection to the under tonight is the anticipation of a blowout and/or reduced minutes for Jokic against a shorthanded Pelicans team. A projection of 24.97 points produces a solid ROI of 21% when bet at a favorable +110 price.

Under 11.5 Rebounds: -125 (Louisiana Sportsbook Offers)

The biggest discrepancy between NBA betting prop totals for tonight’s game and the season numbers for Jokic thus far is for assists. He is averaging 7.6 assists per game to date. While that is extraordinary and easily leads the Nuggets as a team, it also comes in nearly one full assist below the prop line of 8.5. While Jokic has topped his season assists average in seven straight games, he has only topped the NBA player props total in two of the last three. Once again, any sort of minutes reduction will be to his detriment as far as going over this prop.

Awesemo has him pegged for 7.88 assists and gives the under a 63% chance of winning on this prop. Even with OddsShopper showing the best price at only -130, the expected ROI for this wager is still 18%.

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