Thursday night features seven games in the NBA that all feature point spreads of 8 or less. Over the past few nights, the NBA landscape has seen games with massive point spreads, but with a more competitive slate on tap for tonight, there are a few strong value spots for NBA betting picks today. Be sure to stay tuned to OddsShopper throughout the day to ensure you are getting the best value on your bets today. Let’s get into today’s best bets, which feature a game total for an Eastern Conference clash and an NBA player prop bet for one of the brightest stars taking the court tonight.
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Best NBA Bets & Picks Today
Nets vs. Heat
The Brooklyn Nets are playing host to the Miami Heat on Thursday night. They welcome Kevin Durant back into the lineup, which is much needed, as they have dropped 15 of their last 18. The Nets are coming off of two losses to the Toronto Raptors where they were unable to find a consistent offensive rhythm. The whole offense will improve with Durant back in the lineup, and with the Nets in a pivotal bounce-back spot against a conference opponent in a back-to-back, this Nets team is poised to have a good showing Thursday night. The Heat are coming into Brooklyn after dropping a heart-breaking game to the Bucks last night where they led throughout and ended up losing 120-119 in the last minute.
The Miami Heat are the second-best team in the NBA and have a perfect 5-0 record to the over in second games of back-to-backs. With Brooklyn expected to get Durant back, the recent Nets results are essentially thrown out the window, and it is expected that the offense will run through Durant once again, which seriously improves the overall efficiency of their roster. In their last matchup in Miami on Feb. 12, the game featured a 115-111 final in which the Heat won on their home court and the game went over. In games where the Heat hit the over at home this season, the over has gone on to be a strong 13-1 when they play that same team in their next matchup on the road. Although on its surface this stat may not seem important, it shows how the Heat play certain opponents. Combining all of these things with the return of Kevin Durant, tonight’s play is the over 221.5.
Best NBA Bet Today: Nets/Heat Over 221.5 (-110)
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Grizzlies vs. Celtics: Ja Morant Player Prop Bets
The player prop market presents a strong value on tonight’s slate for Ja Morant and his assists number. Although Morant has failed to reach this mark in three straight games, he has been consistent all season, with a 71% success rate at this number. When looking for value in the NBA player prop market, it is often important to find spots in which the market is providing a discount because of recent performance, and because Morant has been so focused on scoring recently, the assist prop has become valuable. OddsShopper gives this play a 56% chance at winning and a 4% ROI, and when factoring in Morant’s recent results, these are solid numbers for the over tonight. The Celtics defense will be focused on getting the ball out of Morant’s hands. Because he has been so dominant scoring lately, he should get his teammates more involved in what is expected to be a close game in Boston.
Best NBA Bet Today: Ja Morant Over 5.5 Assists (-120)
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