We’ll have a bit more time for slate preparation this Saturday as the first tip-off of the evening, Golden State at Charlotte, isn’t until 5 pm Pacific, which is especially rewarding on a weekend. A half-hour later the Heat take on the Lakers in an NBA Finals rematch, their first meeting since their Championship playoff series last summer. All in all, a five-game evening slate makes for a great compact Saturday assortment of NBA odds, betting picks and player prop options.
Upon opening a browser tab for OddsShopper to navigate our NBA betting picks, you’ll also notice some newly-added helpful additions amidst your site navigation. Combing the betting lines while contrasting odds values, we’ll cross-reference relevant player stats, rotations, and team trends while also looking at any injury news that may hold any impact on our implied action. Tonight we’ll be focusing on Terry Rozier and Draymond Green.
Saturday’s NBA Betting Picks & Player Prop Bets | 2/20
NBA Pick: G Terry Rozier, OVER 3.5 3-Pointers Made (+106, FanDuel Sportsbook)
Although the backcourt spotlight in Charlotte has been shining brightly on rookie LaMelo Ball as of late, the Hornets’ successes this season don’t go without thanks to guard Terry Rozier. With merit to his deep-range shooting prowess, we’ll look at the 3-Pointers subcategory on OddsShopper to find Scary Terry with a player prop line of 3.5 3-pointers made tonight and rewarding +106 odds on the over. With the Warriors coming to town and averaging 114.7 points per game this season, the Hornets may be jacking up more three-point attempts in order to keep up, making clear value to be pursued on Rozier’s three-point player prop at convincing plus-money NBA odds.
Despite the fantastic debut NBA season for Ball, Rozier currently represents the largest percentage share of Charlotte’s scoring, accounting for 17% of the Hornets’ 111.3 points per game. As the Hornets’ leading 3-point shooter by volume of shots attempted and made, Rozier has plenty demonstrated his ability from beyond the arc with 49.9% of his points accrued coming from 3-point territory. Of his 88 three-point attempts this season, Rozier has made 41 of them, and having the best season of his career per the category. Rozier’s 38.0% career 3-point shooting percentage is currently upstaged in his sixth NBA season, firing 44.5% from 3-point land through 26 games.
Squaring off with a Golden State team allowing 13 3-pointers made per game by opponents, the Warriors have surrendered the deep ball at a 36.9% rate this season and with 3.6 3-pointers allowed per game to opposing shooting guards. With his team-leading volume regarding the long ball, Rozier has attempted no fewer than six 3-pointers and as many as 10 in any one performance this season. Averaging 3.4 3-pointers made per game and four per game in his last ten, getting 106% on your investment for Rozier to achieve his recent 3-point average is a value to celebrate among NBA betting picks this Saturday.
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NBA Pick: F Draymond Green, OVER 6.5 Rebounds (+120, FanDuel Sportsbook)
While the Warriors themselves have been dealing with a plentiful share of injuries this season, Draymond Green has been playing through ailments of his own and demonstrating in dominant fashion outside of the points category. Transitioning over to the Rebounds subcategory on OddsShopper, we come to find Green with a player prop of 6.5 rebounds inclusive of +120 odds on the over. Provided another plus-money endeavor today that’s tip-toeing a player’s recent averages, the NBA odds on Green to achieve his latest ten-game rebound average is another worthwhile investment to consider among NBA betting picks.
With Golden State’s shorthanded frontcourt roster forced to contend until James Wiseman and Kevon Looney make their anticipated returns in the coming week, Green has been burdening a vast majority of the workload in the post playing 33.6 minutes per game in the absence (missing one game himself with his current right ankle soreness). Despite his 9.7% rebound rate for the season, Draymond is averaging 7.97 rebounds without Wiseman, Looney, and Marquese Chriss per 36 minutes and hauled down his season-high of 11 rebounds during the stint of their combined absences. As he’s averaged 6.8 rebounds into his ninth NBA season, Green has played with reliability in his shift over to the center position and getting 120% on your investment for him to achieve upward of seven rebounds in the same role is fantastic value with his track record. Green’s recent games since taking over at center: 11, 6, 6, 10, 7, 6, 7, 8, 0 (out w/ ankle), and 6 (most recent).
Heading into Spectrum Center to take on the Hornets, Charlotte is currently ranked 22nd in opponent rebounds allowed with 45.6 boards surrendered per game to opposing teams. Further to the argument of Green’s case, Charlotte is also tied for 27th in rebounds allowed per game to opposing centers, handing over 16.7 rebounds per game to the position this season. Seeing as that Green is soaking up roughly 70% of the Golden State center minutes, with Eric Paschall coming in to allow for Green’s rest periods, the value granted at +120 via FanDuel Sportsbook for Green to secure seven or more rebounds is one of the greatest values on the Saturday NBA betting market.
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