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Awesemo's NBA DFS Injury News Updates, daily fantasy basketball rankings and contrarian GPP picks for DraftKings & FanDuel Friday, 3/11/2022

The Knicks were riding high after a buzzer-beater against the Celtics just two games ago. That was erased following a season-low 75 points on Saturday against the same team. New York is hoping any road issues the Spurs are having will continue to transfer over tonight at Madison Square Garden. San Antonio is 1-5 on a seven-game road trip that concludes tonight. The Knicks were down Evan Fournier, Kemba Walker and Nerlens Noel last game, but all are questionable to return tonight. The Spurs are still down a bunch of guys due to COVID, including Derrick White, Keldon Johnson and Devin Vassell.

Let’s head to OddsShopper and find the best return on some player props and the game itself. The site is 100% free to use and offers Awesemo’s projections, the best return and which book to place the wager.

NBA Player Props Bets & Betting Picks | Spurs vs. Knicks

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San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks

Date: Monday, Jan. 10, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
Venue:
Madison Square Garden — New York, N.Y.
Coverage: MSG

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Best Spurs vs. Knicks NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping

The easiest place to find the best bets in the NBA is on the one-stop shop for value and where to place a wager. The best part is the tool is free and easy to use. Simply filter, sort the page and find the best return available across all books.

Knicks -5.5 (-110, BetMGM)

OddsShopper is not just for player props, as bettors can find an edge on any side or total, right down to a first quarter play. The Knicks are mostly at 6, but there is a nice edge at -5.5 against a brutal Spurs team right now. Do not complicate this too much — the Knicks are coming off a season low for points and are hosting a Spurs team that has won one of its six games away from home. San Antonio may still be dealing with COVID, so there is less depth around Dejounte Murray. He posted another hollow stat line as the Spurs lost in overtime to Brooklyn. The Knicks still roll out Julius Randle and R.J. Barrett and have way more depth at the guard position. New York will bounce no problem.

Lonnie Walker IV Under 16.5 Points (-105, PointsBet)

This is one of the strongest plays for OddsShopper in this game, backed up by Awesemo’s projection of just 13.5 points for Lonnie Walker IV. There is a 74% chance of this prop going over and a juicy 44% expected ROI. The Spurs are struggling all around but are not asking much more from Walker than when they are healthy. The volume has not increased, so he needs a lights-out night in order to go over this number. This is recency bias at its best as Walker comes off a monster night dropping 25 on the Nets in overtime, but that is clearly an outlier. The best part about this prop is getting the number a little high from his big night on Sunday at a -105 return. This should be upwards to -120 to fade a number as high as 16.5 for Walker.

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R.J. Barrett Under 18.5 Points (+100, DraftKings)

OddsShopper is going hard in fading Barrett after going over in his last game, but the entire Knicks squad struggled to get points. The projection is 16.7 points for Barrett, nearly 2 full points under the book. It still has an 63% chance going over and a decent expected ROI of 26%, which is mitigated by the +100 return on the bet. Barrett struggled to get 19 points last time against Boston and was even worse before that with 13 points. Outside of two games over the past 10, Barrett has hovered in the mid-teens. Continue to fade Barrett for a nice even-money return. The Knicks might be up too, which might eat into the Knicks starters minutes. With Fournier and Walker possibly back, Barrett may not get as many shots either.


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Julius Randle Over 9.5 Rebounds (-118, BetMGM)

Randle should have an easier time on the boards as the Spurs are limited up front. Jakob Poeltl should be fine on his own rebounding prop but will not stop Randle from cleaning the glass. The Spurs are just down too many bodies all around and are not aggressive enough on the boards to keep Randle from roaming. OddsShopper has a 62% chance of this prop going over with an expected ROI of 14%. Awesemo has Randle projected for just over the number at 10 rebounds, but a little bump takes advantage of the Spurs’ current struggles. He has hit double-digit rebounds in five of his last six games and should cruise to that number once again.

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Dejounte Murray 3+ 3-Pointers (+290, FanDuel)

This is another Long Distance Launch featuring Murray and the desperate Spurs. The good news is he is launching 3’s with little conscious, putting up six attempts in each of his last two games. Murray has been aggressive from 3 in the absence of many shooters around him. Even if he is not the best 3-point shooter, there will be volume. The Knicks will try and sag off taking away the drive, so Murray will have a good pathway to launch tonight. It is just under 3-to-1 on the return, which is still worth the risk, especially if he can put up six attempts.

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