The Knicks return home battered after going 1-4 on their five-game road trip. They blew double-digit leads in three of those games, including their most recent loss to the Blazers. New York will need more than just a change of scenery to turn things around, as they are without R.J. Barrett due to an ankle injury. Mitchell Robinson, Nerlens Noel and Cam Reddish are questionable heading into tonight’s game. Despite the loss in Portland, the Knicks got solid outings from Julius Randle and Kemba Walker.
The Thunder have dropped five straight games and are losers in seven of their last ten. Their most recent defeat came in Chicago on the second leg of a three-game road trip, but Lu Dort and Josh Giddey put up strong performances. Dort has been one of the few bright spots on a brutal Thunder team but will sit tonight with a strained shoulder. The Thunder are bad enough where location does not matter much, but they are just 8-21 away from home this year.
Make sure to keep checking OddsShopper, as the status of players can change by the minute. It has everything necessary for NBA betting today. Let us get into some of the best NBA bets and player props today for the Thunder vs. Knicks.
Best NBA Player Props & Betting Picks Today | Thunder vs. Knicks
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New York Knicks
Date: Monday, Feb. 14, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
Venue: Madison Square Garden — New York, N.Y.
Coverage: MSG
Best Thunder vs. Knicks NBA Bets Today & Odds Shopping
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NYK -6 1st-Half Spread: -110 (BetRivers)
The Knicks’ best shot at covering any spread in this game is right out of the gate. They may be struggling to close out leads, but getting ahead of teams has not been the issue. It certainly will not be tonight against a wounded Thunder team. OddsShopper has the best possible return on multiple plays for each game and targeting the early stretch of the game allows the best chance of a Knicks cover. The Thunder come off a close loss to the Bulls and are just looking to get through this road trip, meanwhile, the Knicks have a perfect get right game at home. They may be a little light up front, but New York should easily overpower Oklahoma City by the half tonight.
Tre Mann Over 11.5 Points: -110 (Caesars)
This is the top OddsShopper play in this game after combining all of their available data, including Awesemo’s free projection. The gap between the book and projection is over a full possession at 4 points. Mann is expected to have 15.5 points. The xROI on this play is up to 40% and a 73% xWIN chance of hitting. Mann should see plenty of time no matter how bad the Thunder are down and has seen a significant increase in shot opportunity over the past three games.
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Kemba Walker Over 1.5 3-Pointers: -130 (FanDuel)
Walker played well in Portland, dropping 23 in the loss but also going 4-8 from three. The Knicks should have chances all night to get looks from three and Walker should be right at the top of the shooting rotation. Evan Fournier struggled while taking double-digit threes and Walker’s volume was not impacted. The Knicks have multiple options to attack the Thunder’s perimeter defense, which should help every Knicks guard get open shots. OddsShopper has a 67% xWin chance of this prop hitting and an 18% xROI on the play. Awesemo’s free projection has Walker finishing with 2.3 made threes.
Julius Randle Under 23.5 Points: -105 (DraftKings)
The blowout factor is definitely in effect and is reflected by lower projections for scoring on some player props. Randle going under his 23.5 point total is a prime example, as the Knicks forward might not be out on the floor much against the Thunder. OddsShopper has a 64% xWin chance of this prop hitting under, along with a 26% xROI. The free projection for Awesemo has Randle finishing with just 20.7 points, nearly a full possession between the book and player prop. Randle has comfortably gone over this number in five straight games, so the projected blowout is factoring into his lower projection.
Evan Fournier Over 3.5 Made 3’s: +112 (FanDuel)
Fournier was awful from the floor in Portland but still saw double-digit looks from three. He will see a similar amount tonight against the Thunder but should see the hoop a little better. The Knicks still made an effort to get Fournier the ball despite their lead evaporating on the road and his continued struggles from the field. The minutes may be limited and the return is not what it used to be at 3.5 makes, but this is the bounce-back game that will pay off and out for Fournier.
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