The NASCAR Cup Series kicks off a double-header of action in Pocono on Saturday with the Pocono Organics 325 race this weekend. With Saturday’s starting format resembling a typical NASCAR race, as opposed to Sunday’s field set by inversion, let’s focus this week’s NASCAR betting action on that Saturday event. Let’s delve into the NASCAR Vegas odds, betting picks and expert predictions for the race this weekend at Pocono.
Pocono Organics 325 NASCAR Best Bets
Who to Bet to Win at Pocono
Following four straight trips to victory lane, DraftKings Sportsbook finally found a number for Kyle Larson that has held static. On Monday Larson opened up as the favorite at +225 in the NASCAR Vegas odds. Today that number stands pat at +225. What has changed are those of the odds of Denny Hamlin, who has gone from +700 to now at +750. Larson and Hamlin opened as the top two favorites, and that’s where they remain as of now.
What has changed up top is some shuffling amongst the next tier of drivers. On Monday Kyle Busch stood alone as the third-highest favorite at +800. Both Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick have seen their odds shaved, as they currently sit square with Busch at +800. Despite starting 29th, Elliott has picked up steam among bettors, while Harvick’s momentum is questionable at best. Yes, Harvick went second and first in last year’s double-header at Pocono, but that version of Harvick is not what fans are witnessing this season.
The reputation of Joe Gibbs is synonymous with Pocono as Toyota has won six of the past seven Pocono races. However, before the ascent of Gibbs, Hendrick had its own run at Pocono with five straight victories. Considering the competitive advantage that Hendrick seems to have, regardless of the package, it’s a safe bet that his run will continue to march on as Larson makes the first pole sitter to win at Pocono since Busch back in 2017.
Top Five Bets
DraftKings is offering interesting NASCAR Vegas odds as per top-five finishes, and a few of them are a great value over +500. First, Austin Dillon (+900) has higher odds than Aric Almirola (+650) despite the fact Dillon’s three top-10 finishes in the 550-horsepower package, while Almirola’s best finish in this package is 20th at Atlanta. If this discrepancy is based on Dillon’s past finishes at Pocono versus that of Almirola, the difference makes sense. However, just like his Stewart-Haas teammate, the Almirola betters saw last season is not the driver they have had for the majority of 2021. For the season, Dillon’s worst finish in the low-horsepower package is 12th.
The second driver to highlight has the exact same odds as Dillon, namely Chris Buescher. He has shown noteworthy splits in this package versus that which was run at Kentucky. In this 550-horsepower package, Buescher has been ascending and has finished the last three intermediate races seventh, eighth and eighth. With the regular season winding down, expect Buescher and his team to play Pocono a little closer to the vest, especially after giving up precious ground following the DNF at Kentucky.
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Prop Bets
The following are a list of interesting props being offered by DraftKings Sportsbook for Saturday’s event:
- Best Finish Group A: Kyle Busch +250
- Car Number of Race Winner: Odd -134
- Best Finish Group C: Austin Dillon +275
- Grid Position of Race Winner: Under 6.5 -113
- Best Finish Group D: Chris Buescher +255
- Top Ford Car: Aric Almirola +1400
- Best Finishing Position – Race: Brad Keselowski -134 over Joey Logano
- Top Toyota Car: Kyle Busch +180
- Best Finishing Position – Race: William Byron – 115 over Martin Truex Junior
- Best Finishing Position – Race: Kyle Busch -112 over Denny Hamlin.
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