THE BEST NBA BETTING PICKS TODAY From Awesemo Data Scientists | Tuesday 3/1/22

March is finally here, which means only slightly more than a month of NBA games left. However, there is still a lot to be decided over the remaining 20 games. Tonight’s seven-game slate features several teams facing must-win situations, including the Lakers, Hawks, Wizards and Nets. Brooklyn is currently the eighth seed in the Eastern Conference, two games behind Toronto and two games in front of Atlanta and Charlotte. The Raptors defeated the Nets 133-97 last night in Brooklyn.

This daily NBA article will examine the best betting picks and NBA player prop bets today. With OddsShopper, bettors can maximize their profits and see the best bets with the highest expected return on investment . OddsShopper can find which sportsbooks offer the best prices for these prop bets. The following are the 11 best bets for tonight’s slate.

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Wizards Moneyline (-150) Over Pistons, Under 216.5 Points

Washington is the better team here, but both have scuffled over the last 10 games. The Wizards have been much better on the offensive end recently averaging 113.4 points over this five-game stretch. They have shot 48.9% from the field and knocked down 13 3’s a game at a 43% clip while also outscoring their opponents by 1.7 points. The Wizards defeated the Pistons 103-94 at Capital One Arena during this period. Meanwhile, Detroit is 3-2 in their last five games while averaging 108.6 points, though the Pistons have shot 43.2% from the field and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with 11.5 triples a game.

Washington is the home team, and while the Pistons have won their last two games away from home, they have been outscored by 11 points over their previous six road games. Moreover, the Wizards have defeated the Pistons in their earlier matchups, as Kyle Kuzma has played exceptionally well against them. The Wizards are 12-12 against teams with a sub-.500 record this year, including going 5-4 at home. Plus, Detroit may be without Hamidou Diallo, Frank Jackson and Marvin Bagley, who are all questionable. OddsShopper gives Washington a 64% chance of winning the game.

Hawks and Celtics Under 227.5 Points

The point total has increased by 2 since the opening line. While the Hawks continue to be one of the most efficient offensive teams in the league and the Celtics have increased their efficiency on that end of the floor, the point total seems to be too high. Awesemo projections agree with this assessment, as there are 225 points expected to be produced in the game.

Atlanta ranks second in the NBA in offensive efficiency (117), and they have recorded an effective field goal percentage of 54%. However, the Celtics defense has been spectacular since the calendar turned, with a league-best defensive rating of 102.3 while holding opponents to just an effective field goal percentage of 47.8%. The Celtics also have played at the fifth-slowest pace in 2022, averaging 96.62 possessions a game. Plus, the Celtics have had turnover issues recently.

OddsShopper gives the under a 52% chance of hitting as the Hawks and Celtics have yet to combine for over 210 points in any of their three matchups this year. The average point total at TD Garden is just 213, and the under has hit in 18 of the 31 games. The under is also 4-0 in the Hawks’ last four road games against teams with home winning percentages greater than 60%.


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Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Rebounds

Curry has been relatively inconsistent rebounding the ball this year, although he averages 5.3 boards a game on the season. He has grabbed nine boards in his two games since the All-Star break and grabbed five in 27 minutes against the Trail Blazers. More importantly, Curry has rebounded the ball well against the Timberwolves, as he has more rebounds (13) than assists (12) in two games against them this year. The Timberwolves are allowing 6.5 rebounds to opposing point guards this year. Curry is projected for 5.78 rebounds tonight. OddsShopper gives the over a 68% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 19%.

James Johnson Over 3.5 Rebounds

Johnson has been in the starting lineup at power forward for the Nets in each of his last four appearances and averaged a season-high 24 minutes of action in February. H grabbed four rebounds in 18 minutes of action last night against the Raptors, marking the fourth time in his previous five appearances that he has grabbed that many caroms. Johnson, projected for 5.23 rebounds tonight, averages 5.1 boards (1.0 offensive) a game in the nine games that he has started this year. Toronto gives up the 13th-most rebounds to opposing power forwards this year. Opposing four men have averaged 9.5 rebounds, with 2.1 coming on the offensive end against the Raptors this year. OddsShopper gives the over a 76% chance of hitting and an expected ROI of 29%.

Other Top Bets & NBA Picks Today

  • Celtics and Hawks Under 58.5 Points First Quarter
  • Lakers (+5.5 Points) Over Mavericks
  • Terance Mann Over 5.5 Rebounds
  • Luka Doncic Under 9.5 Assists
  • Gary Payton II Under 1.5 3-Pointers
  • Karl-Anthony Towns Over 1.5 3-Pointers
  • Gary Trent Jr. Under 3.5 3-Pointers

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