Best NBA Player Props: Fade Marcus Morris Sr. (April 25)

Three more NBA playoff games await bettors tonight. All three games could bring about the end of their respective series. With so much on the line tonight, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Marcus Morris Sr. player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Tuesday’s playoff games.

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Today’s Top NBA Player Props | April 25 Playoff Games

Jalen Johnson Prop O/U 12.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (PRA)

The Atlanta Hawks are on the verge of elimination from the playoffs. They also won’t have one of their key guards, Dejounte Murray. That leaves them in a tough spot against the Boston Celtics tonight, and the books have listed the Celtics as a massive favorite.

Don’t expect the Hawks to tap out and play their reserves, like Jalen Johnson, for big minutes. Johnson has averaged 9.3 minutes per game in the playoffs, which he has turned into 9 PRA. He has beaten this number twice this series, but he shouldn’t see nearly as much usage with Alanta’s season almost over.

NBA Bet Pro projects Johnson for only 8 PRA. That gives the under an expected win rate of 59%, a fantastic deal relative to the implied odds available at Caesars Sportsbook (54.6%). Readers eager to find more mispriced props should try a one-week trial of NBA Bet Pro!

Best NBA Player Prop: Jalen Johnson Under 12.5 PRA -120 at Caesars

Marcus Morris Sr. Prop O/U 7.5 Points

The Los Angeles Clippers opted to swap out the struggling Nicolas Batum for Marcus Morris Sr. in Game 4. Morris had played some minutes in Game 3 before entering the starting five in Game 4. He scored five points in his first outing and nine in his second while playing less than 25 minutes per game.

NBA Bet Pro has Morris scoring only 6.2 points tonight. Much uncertainty remains about what lineups and rotation head coach Tyronn Lue will use tonight, but the books are pricing this one like the uptick in Morris’ usage will continue. Let’s bet against that trend with this play.

The under has an expected win rate of 54%, per NBA Bet Pro. That gives us plenty of edge relative to the implied odds available at BetMGM (50%). Readers new to BetMGM can even get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance, so minimize your risk by signing up there!

Best NBA Player Prop: Marcus Morris Sr. Under 7.5 Points +100 at BetMGM

Author
Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.

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