NBA Player Props: Fade Spencer Dinwiddie's Passing (April 17)

After an exciting slate of Game 1s this weekend, the NBA playoffs continue with two Game 2s tonight: the Philadelphia 76ers will play the Brooklyn Nets early, then the Golden State Warriors will face the Sacramento Kings late. With teams shaking up their rotations for the playoffs, even the sharpest bettors can let the best NBA player props slip through their fingers. The below Spencer Dinwiddie player prop stands out as especially easy to miss.

Enter Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro. Instead of manually sifting through each game to find value, bettors can now sort every prop market by expected ROI. NBA Bet Pro pulls lines from every major sportsbook to help you find the best deal available for that given play. If you’re not convinced, see how much money you make after a one-week free trial of the product.

Stokastic’s NBA Bet Pro model is all over these three NBA player props for Monday’s playoff games.

Today’s Top NBA Player Props | April 17 Playoff Games

Spencer Dinwiddie Prop O/U 8.5 Assists

This play stands out among NBA Bet Pro’s favorites Only six other plays have comparable sEV, and bettors eager to find the rest should try out a subscription to the service. The model expects Spencer Dinwiddie to dish out only 8 assists tonight, which gives the under an expected win rate of 57%.

Dinwiddie averaged 9.1 assists per game with the Nets this year, but he dished out only 7 in Game 1 against the Philadelphia 76ers. With the 76ers willing to play at such a slow pace, Dinwiddie won’t get the extra possessions he needs to cash the over. Lock the under in at DraftKings for the best price.

Best NBA Player Prop: Spencer Dinwiddie Under 8.5 Assists -120 at DraftKings

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Trey Lyles Prop O/U 4.5 Rebounds

Although he isn’t a big-name player like Spencer Dinwiddie, NBA player prop bettors would be remiss to lose out on this play for Trey Lyles in the late game. Lyles, one of Sacramento’s reserves, averaged only 4.1 rebounds per game in the regular season. He now sits in the plus money to stay under that number.

Lyles should record only 4.3 rebounds tonight, per NBA Bet Pro, which gives the under an expected win rate of 50%. That’s better than the market price available at BetMGM (48.8%). Although that isn’t the biggest edge in the world, bettors can find plenty of other sharp bets posted at NBA Bet Pro. Readers yet to register at BetMGM can even get up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance!

Best NBA Player Prop: Trey Lyles Under 4.5 Rebounds +105 at BetMGM

Author

Isaiah Sirois

Isaiah Sirois is a Sports Betting Analyst at OddsShopper/Stokastic specializing in basketball, football and motorsports. He uses a wide variety of analytical tools to identify value on event-specific markets, and you trust his columns will be stuffed to the brim with data. Basketball is Isaiah’s favorite sport to handicap, and he has covered NBA, WNBA, NCAA and FIBA markets for OddsShopper and other sites. However, Isaiah’s favorite sport to follow is auto racing, and you can usually find him watching NASCAR or IndyCar during their seasons. He will be a fan of Team Penske and Ford Performance until the end of time. Isaiah graduated with a bachelor’s degree in history from Emory University.