In NBA DFS and daily fantasy basketball as a whole, it is not as simple as rostering who we think the best play is. We have to consider the odds each individual player has of going off or busting. Nobody is a sure thing. With the Awesemo NBA DFS Boom vs. Bust Tool, we have our own odds to help us navigate range of outcomes for NBA daily fantasy. These are some of the NBA DFS picks on DraftKings and FanDuel that have the best NBA DFS projections of booming or busting according to our tool.
*Candidates written up in the morning, so boom/bust percentages may change throughout the day.
Boom/Bust NBA Fantasy Projections | Feb. 21
NBA Daily Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Boom Candidates
Nikola Jokic vs. Hawks: $10,800/$10,600
39.6% DraftKings Boom/52.7% FanDuel Boom
The frontcourt for the Nuggets will be short-handed today as JaMychal Green joins Paul Millsap on the sideline. Jokic is negatively correlated with both as well as with Gary Harris, who is also out. This is a positive matchup for Jokic, and he has hit value at these prices in five straight games. Given the injuries, matchup and that Jamal Murray could draw extra attention after last game, Jokic has the highest boom potential of the day. This is impressive considering he is in the elite price tier, but it’s tough to bet against him at this point.
Jarrett Allen vs. Thunder: $7,100/$7,400
30.3% DraftKings Boom/38.9% FanDuel Boom
Allen has the potential to play over 30 minutes for the second game in a row, which is great considering his biggest knock has been his minutes all season long. Awesemo currently projects Allen for 31 minutes. With Taurean Prince continuing to be sidelined with Larry Nance Jr., Andre Drummond and Kevin Love, this seems to be a good bet. Allen finished last game with a 20-point double-double in 33 minutes, and the matchup against the Thunder puts him in position to potentially repeat this performance.
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Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Kings: $11,000/$11,300
34.7% DraftKings Boom/41.3% FanDuel Boom
While the Bucks have been really struggling, Giannis has continued to play well for NBA fantasy. He willed his team to a win last game, putting up over 70 NBA fantasy points. Facing the Kings, who have the worst defensive efficiency in the league by far (115.9), Giannis should be able to do whatever he wants again today. Typically the worry here would be the Bucks blowing out the Kings. However, with them struggling without Jrue Holiday, Milwaukee is no lock to win this game, which is good for those rostering Giannis.
NBA Daily Fantasy Picks: DraftKings + FanDuel Bust Candidates
Kawhi Leonard vs. Nets: $9,500/$9,800
86.3% DraftKings Bust/76.7% FanDuel Bust
Leonard returned to the floor last game, playing 37 minutes. While he wasn’t very efficient with his scoring, he did still finish with 29 points. Despite the high points, he was still a bust. Leonard only totaled 5 rebounds, 4 assists and 1 block. Tonight Awesemo has Leonard has one of the highest potential busts. His salary his high, and the Clippers are healthy. Paul George should see his role expand a bit in his second game since his return, which could lead to Leonard scoring a bit less.
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